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. 2019 Nov 13;2(11):e1915219. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2019.15219

Table 1. Trends in Current Measured BMI and Weight; Adjusted, Prior-Year, Self-reported Weight; Weight Loss Attempts; and Weight Loss Strategies Among Adults in the United States, 1999-2000 to 2015-2016a.

Characteristic 1999-2000 (n = 4597) 2001-2002 (n = 5094) 2003-2004 (n = 4808) 2005-2006 (n = 4643) 2007-2008 (n = 5878) 2009-2010 (n = 6150) 2011-2012 (n = 5503) 2013-2014 (n = 5704) 2015-2016 (n = 5649) P for Trendb 2015-2016 vs 1999-2000, Difference (95% CI)
All Participants
Current measured BMI, No. (%) 4117 (89.6) 4413 (86.6) 4431 (92.2) 4356 (93.8) 5550 (94.4) 5926 (96.4) 5181 (94.1) 5455 (95.6) 5337 (94.5) NA NA
Mean (95% CI) 27.96 (27.47 to 28.4) 28.01 (27.68 to 28.33) 28.20 (27.87 to 28.50) 28.54 (28.05 to 29.03) 28.54 (28.21 to 28.80) 28.71 (28.45 to 28.90) 28.71 (28.27 to 29.16) 29.16 (28.80 to 29.53) 29.39 (28.84 to 29.90) <.001 1.20 (0.92 to 1.47)
Current measured weight, No. (%) 4130 (89.4) 4508 (88.5) 4448 (92.5) 4371 (94.1) 5560 (94.6) 5935 (96.5) 5193 (94.4) 5468 (95.9) 5341 (94.5) NA NA
Mean (95% CI), kg 79.88 (78.50 to 81.27) 80.30 (79.32 to 81.28) 80.98 (80.00 to 81.90) 81.77 (80.27 to 83.27) 81.68 (80.53 to 82.80) 82.05 (81.20 to 82.90) 81.82 (80.73 to 82.72) 83.02 (82.11 to 83.93) 83.34 (81.75 to 84.90) <.001 2.77 (1.92 to 3.61)
Adjusted, self-reported, prior-year weight, No. (%) 4062 (88.4) 4656 (91.4) 4464 (92.8) 4353 (93.8) 5507 (93.7) 5843 (95.0) 5149 (93.6) 5414 (94.9) 5299 (93.8) NA NA
Mean (95% CI), kg 80.35 (79.09 to 81.60) 80.58 (79.50 to 81.66) 81.54 (80.49 to 82.50) 82.20 (80.89 to 83.51) 81.99 (80.85 to 83.10) 82.15 (81.22 to 83.00) 82.20 (80.98 to 83.41) 82.88 (81.73 to 84.03) 83.33 (81.80 to 84.80) <.001 2.36 (1.52 to 3.21)
Difference between current and self-reported prior-year weight, No. (%) 4013 (87.3) 4444 (87.2) 4392 (91.3) 4280 (92.2) 5420 (92.2) 5789 (94.1) 5088 (92.5) 5360 (94.0) 5238 (92.7) NA NA
Unadjusted self-reported weight, mean (95% CI), kg 1.14 (0.74 to 1.53) 0.76 (0.49 to 1.03) 0.55 (0.13 to 0.97) 0.54 (0.08 to 1.01) 0.65 (0.33 to 0.97) 0.70 (0.44 to 0.97) 0.26 (–0.09 to 0.61) 0.67 (0.18 to 1.15) 0.53 (0.07 to 1.00) .17 –0.29 (–0.65 to 0.07)
Adjusted self-reported weight, mean (95% CI), kg –0.44 (–0.85 to –0.04) –0.44 (–0.73 to –0.14) –0.65 (–1.11 to –0.18) –0.36 (–0.85 to –0.14) –0.31 (–0.66 to –0.04) –0.11 (–0.36 to 0.15) –0.50 (–0.89 to –0.12) 0.07 (–0.44 to 0.57) –0.01 (–0.47 to 0.44) <.001 0.70 (0.34 to 1.07)
Participants Who Tried to Lose Weight
Current measured BMI, No. (%) 1165 (25.3) 1246 (24.5) 1250 (26.0) 1396 (30.1) 1614 (27.5) 1685 (27.4) 1546 (28.1) 1747 (30.6) 1819 (32.2) NA NA
Mean (95% CI) 30.49 (29.62 to 31.36) 30.22 (19.71 to 30.73) 30.25 (29.65 to 30.85) 30.49 (29.75 to 31.23) 30.66 (30.14 to 31.18) 31.02 (30.69 to 31.35) 31.14 (30.46 to 31.82) 31.33 (30.74 to 31.92) 31.89 (31.34 to 32.45) <.001 1.21 (0.69 to 1.73)
Current measured weight, No. (%) 1168 (25.4) 1261 (24.8) 1253 (26.1) 1397 (30.1) 1616 (27.5) 1686 (27.4) 1548 (28.1) 1752 (30.7) 1823 (32.3) NA NA
Mean (95% CI), kg 86.02 (83.49 to 88.55) 85.5 (83.93 to 87.07) 85.44 (83.72 to 87.17) 85.93 (83.49 to 88.37) 86.83 (85.08 to 88.58) 87.57 (86.13 to 89.00) 87.67 (85.90 to 89.44) 87.92 (86.76 to 89.08) 89.71 (88.23 to 91.20) <.001 2.55 (0.93 to 4.17)
Self-reported prior-year weight, No. (%) 1151 (25.0) 1285 (25.2) 1254 (26.1) 1391 (30.0) 1610 (27.5) 1652 (26.9) 1537 (27.9) 1733 (30.4) 1804 (31.9) NA NA
Unadjusted, mean (95% CI), kg 81.72 (79.72 to 83.72) 81.40 (79.75 to 83.05) 81.99 (80.37 to 83.61) 82.30 (80.19 to 84.41) 83.37 (81.63 to 85.10) 83.92 (82.33 to 85.52) 83.74 (82.20 to 85.28) 83.42 (82.05 to 84.80) 85.39 (83.95 to 86.84) <.001 2.29 (0.75 to 3.82)
Adjusted, mean (95% CI), kg 83.60 (81.55 to 85.65) 82.99 (81.26 to 84.72) 83.53 (81.88 to 85.18) 83.64 (81.51 to 85.78) 84.71 (82.90 to 86.53) 85.09 (83.48 to 86.70) 84.84 (83.25 to 86.42) 84.14 (82.72 to 85.56) 86.13 (84.70 to 87.56) .02 1.16 (0.39 to 2.72)
Difference between current and self-reported prior-year weight, No. (%) 1143 (24.8) 1242 (24.4) 1237 (25.7) 1373 (29.6) 1588 (27.0) 1588 (25.8) 1644 (29.9) 1520 (26.6) 1723 (30.5) NA NA
Unadjusted self-reported weight, mean (95% CI), kg 3.43 (2.95 to 3.91) 4.25 (3.45 to 5.05) 3.94 (3.45 to 4.44) 3.35 (2.87 to 3.83) 3.56 (3.06 to 4.06) 3.54 (3.04 to 4.05) 3.39 (2.88 to 3.9) 3.59 (3.08 to 4.12) 4.35 (3.83 to 4.88) <.001 0.55 (0.37 to 0.86)
Adjusted self-reported weight, mean (95% CI), kg 2.38 (1.06 to 3.16) 2.36 (1.91 to 2.81) 1.82 (1.35 to 2.28) 2.21 (1.60 to 2.80) 2.19 (1.65 to 2.74) 2.20 (1.65 to 2.74) 2.22 (1.74 to 2.70) 2.52 (1.93 to 3.10) 3.63 (3.07 to 4.19) .43 1.38 (0.78 to 2.01)
Participants Who Did Not Try to Lose Weight
Current measured BMI, No. (%) 2540 (55.3) 2733 (53.7) 2696 (56.1) 2455 (52.9) 3242 (55.2) 3540 (57.6) 2998 (54.5) 3005 (52.7) 2796 (49.5) NA NA
Mean (95% CI) 26.37 (25.83 to 26.90) 26.42 (26.13 to 26.71) 26.53 (26.24 to 26.82) 26.54 (26.14 to 26.94) 26.79 (26.42 to 27.15) 26.98 (26.55 to 27.40) 26.72 (26.17 to 27.27) 27.01 (26.64 to 27.38) 26.95 (26.24 to 27.67) .02 0.20 (–0.11 to 0.51)
Current measured weight, No. (%) 2548 (55.4) 2804 (55.0) 2709 (56.3) 2466 (53.1) 3250 (52.3) 3547 (57.7) 3007 (54.6) 3013 (52.8) 2796 (49.5) NA NA
Mean (95% CI), kg 75.85 (74.13 to 77.57) 76.18 (75.32 to 77.04) 76.94 (76.13 to 77.75) 77.00 (75.90 to 78.11) 77.14 (75.81 to 78.48) 77.45 (76.28 to 78.63) 76.51 (74.91 to 78.11) 77.31 (76.30 to 78.33) 76.82 (74.69 to 78.96) .93 0.09 (–0.89 to 1.08)
Self-reported prior-year weight, No. (%) 2502 (54.4) 2913 (57.2) 2723 (56.6) 2441 (52.6) 3233 (55.0) 3492 (56.8) 2970 (54.0) 2975 (52.2) 2767 (49.0) NA NA
Unadjusted, mean (95% CI), kg 74.53 (72.99 to 76.06) 75.07 (74.26 to 75.89) 75.76 (74.98 to 76.54) 76.44 (75.44 to 77.45) 75.99 (74.77 to 77.21) 76.25 (75.24 to 77.26) 75.66 (74.19 to 77.13) 76.27 (75.38 to 77.16) 75.91 (73.96 to 77.86) .05 0.82 (–0.10 to 1.73)
Adjusted, mean (95% CI), kg 75.88 (74.28 to 77.78) 75.95 (75.07 to 76.83) 76.62 (75.76 to 77.48) 76.86 (75.81 to 77.91) 76.64 (75.36 to 77.93) 76.73 (75.69 to 77.77) 76.11 (74.60 to 77.62) 76.63 (75.72 to 77.55) 76.15 (74.24 to 78.06) .81 –0.18 (–1.12 to 0.76)
Difference between current and self-reported prior-year weight, No. (%) 1796 (39.1) 2466 (48.4) 2763 (57.5) 2673 (57.6) 2399 (40.8) 3175 (51.6) 3449 (62.7) 2934 (51.4) 2938 (52.0) NA NA
Unadjusted self-reported weight, No. (%), kg 0.75 (0.25 to 1.25) 1.32 (0.85 to 1.78) 0.93 (0.57 to 1.31) 1.10 (0.67 to 1.53) 0.60 (0.17 to 1.03) 1.03 (0.65 to 1.41) 1.24 (0.91 to 1.58) 0.75 (0.41 to 1.08) 0.52 (0.06 to 1.28) .41 0.20 (0.19 to 0.59)
Adjusted self-reported weight, mean (95% CI), kg 1.78 (1.33 to 2.21) –0.03 (–0.52 to 0.45) 0.04 (–0.36 to 0.46) 0.25 (–0.23 to 0.73) 0.19 (–0.22 to 0.59) 0.37 (–0.02 to 0.77) 0.76 (0.43 to 1.09) 0.30 (–0.02 to 0.61) 0.54 (0.22 to 0.94) <.001 0.85 (0.45 to 1.25)
Participants with Normal BMI or Underweight Who Intended to Weigh Less or the Same Amount
Difference between current and prior-year self-reported weight, No. (%) 2754 (59.9) 1078 (21.1) 1187 (24.7) 1171 (25.2) 1086 (18.5) 1371 (22.3) 1425 (25.9) 1458 (25.6) 1429 (25.3) NA NA
Unadjusted self-reported weight, mean (95% CI), kg –1.43 (–2.06 to –0.81) –1.33 (–1.68 to –0.98) –1.34 (–1.73 to –0.95) –1.20 (–1.71 to –0.70) –1.48 (–1.88 to –1.08) –1.19 (–1.53 to –0.85) –1.23 (–1.67 to –0.80) –1.36 (–1.84 to –0.87) –1.36 (–1.74 to –0.98) .18 0.44 (0.32 to 0.61)
Adjusted self-reported weight, mean (95% CI), kg 0.38 (–0.06 to 0.83) –2.15 (–2.59 to –1.70) –1.70 (–2.07 to –1.33) –1.61 (–2.20 to –1.02) –1.62 (–2.03 to –1.21) –1.56 (–1.96 to –1.16) –1.42 (–1.88 to –0.96) –1.53 (–2.05 to –1.00) –1.46 (–1.80 to –1.12) .02 0.61 (0.11 to 1.11)
Participants with Normal BMI or Underweight Who Intended to Weigh More
Difference between current weight and self-reported prior-year weight, No. (%) 1309 (28.5) 225 (4.4) 235 (4.9) 226 (4.9_ 218 (3.7) 198 (3.2) 214 (3.9) 184 (3.2) 192 (3.4) NA NA
Unadjusted self-reported weight, mean (95% CI), kg 0.46 (–1.37 to 2.29) 1.40 (0.83 to 1.98) 0.94 (0.14 to 1.74) –0.09 (–0.73 to 0.56) 1.02 (0.20 to 1.85) 0.14 (–0.89 to 1.17) 1.58 (0.98 to 2.18) 0.44 (–0.93 to 1.81) 0.79 (–0.24 to 1.82) .76 0.40 (0.01 to 1.10)
Adjusted self-reported weight, mean (95% CI), kg –1.03 (–1.51 to –0.56) 0.26 (–0.27 to 0.79) –0.08 (–0.99 to 0.82) –1.34 (–2.10 to –0.57) –0.09 (–1.09 to 0.91) –0.97 (–2.04 to 0.09) 0.56 (–0.14 to 1.17) –0.40 (–1.86 to 1.05) 0.11 (–1.19 to 1.41) .96 1.34 (0.83 to 1.51)
Participants With Overweight Who Intended to Weigh Less or the Same Amount
Difference between current and self-reported prior-year weight, No. (%) 131 (2.8) 791 (15.5) 819 (17.0) 849 (18.3) 810 (13.8) 1119 (18.2) 1182 (21.5) 1080 (18.9) 1073 (19.0) NA NA
Unadjusted self-reported weight, mean (95% CI), kg –0.93 (–1.52 to –0.29) –0.01 (–0.86 to 0.86) –0.26 (–0.85 to 0.31) –0.79 (–1.28 to –0.31) –0.48 (–1.11 to 0.15) –0.39 (–1.06 to 0.28) 0.17 (–0.34 to 0.68) –0.53 (–1.31 to 0.24) –0.27 (–0.84 to 0.31) .32 0.64 (0.41 to 1.10)
Adjusted self-reported weight, mean (95% CI), kg 0.92 (–1.40 to 3.25) –1.61 (–2.56 to 0.67) –1.25 (–1.98 to –0.52) –1.79 (–2.30 to –1.23) –0.78 (–1.47 to –0.08) –0.08 (–1.67 to 0.09) –0.07 (–0.61 to 0.46) –1.08 (–1.88 to –0.28) –0.62 (–1.25 to 0.006) .02 1.20 (0.40 to 1.99)
Participants With Overweight or Obesity Who Intended to Weigh More
Difference between current weight and self-reported prior-year weight, No. (%) 1214 (26.4) 1904 (37.3) 2106 (43.8) 2125 (45.8) 2150 (36.6) 2715 (44.1) 2948 (53.6) 2349 (41.2) 2649 (46.9) NA NA
Unadjusted self-reported weight, mean (95% CI), kg 1.02 (0.42 to 1.63) 2.98 (2.28 to 3.68) 2.28 (1.84 to 2.73) 1.98 (1.37 to 2.60) 1.82 (1.29 to 2.35) 2.03 (1.27 to 2.48) 1.80 (1.26 to 2.35) 1.45 (0.92 to 1.99) 1.97 (1.17 to 2.77) .07 0.51 (0.07 to 1.11)
Adjusted self-reported weight, mean (95% CI), kg –2.07 (–2.72 to –1.41) 0.88 (0.20 to 1.57) 0.54 (0.08 to 1.00) 0.31 (–0.33 to 0.96) 0.38 (–0.21 to 0.98) 0.61 (0.16 to 1.06) 0.50 (–0.02 to 1.02) 0.28 (–0.30 to 0.85) 1.04 (0.19 to 1.88) .01 0.59 (0.01 to 1.19)

Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared); NA, not applicable.

a

Analyses were restricted to nonpregnant participants 20 years and older who responded to the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Not all participants answered all questions; therefore, the number of participants in different categories were not equal to the total number of participants for the survey cycle. Increasing trends were defined as differences greater than 0 or a ratio greater than 1 with P for trend ≤ .001; decreasing trends were defined as differences less than 0 or a ratio of less than 1, with a P for trend ≤ .001; stable trends were defined as P for trend > .001.

b

Adjusted for age, sex, and race/ethnicity.