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. 2019 Dec 10;16(12):e1002982. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002982

Table 4. Predicted relative and absolute diabetes risk reduction resulting from various amounts of weight loss, for a 1.7-meter-tall individual.

Weight lost Predicted relative percent reduced risk Predicted absolute percent reduced risk
Overweight (25 ≤ BMI < 30 kg/m2) Obese (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2) Overweight (25 ≤ BMI < 30 kg/m2) Obese (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2)
2.3 kg (5 lbs) 22% (18, 25) 16% (13, 19) 0.8% (0.7, 0.9) 2.1% (1.7, 2.5)
4.5 kg (10 lbs) 39% (32, 44) 30% (25, 35) 1.4% (1.2, 1.6) 3.8% (3.1, 4.5)
5.0 kg (11 lbs) 42% (35, 47) 32% (27, 38) 1.5% (1.3, 1.8) 4.1% (3.4, 4.8)
9.1 kg (20 lbs) 62% (54, 69) 51% (43, 58) 2.3% (2.0, 2.6) 6.5% (5.5, 7.4)
10.0 kg (22 lbs) 66% (58, 72) 54% (46, 61) 2.5% (2.1, 2.7) 7.0% (5.9, 7.8)

95% confidence intervals are indicated in parentheses.