Table 2.
Evaluation of the “Surprise Question” and the PREDICT Score as Predictors for 12-Month Mortality
| Univariate analysis | ||
|---|---|---|
| Predictors or confounders | Odds ratio | 95% Confidence intervals |
| PREDICT criteria | 1.0 | 0.9–1.0 |
| Physician experience | 1.0 | 1.0–1.1 |
| “Surprise question” | ||
| “Yes, I would be surprised.” | Reference | |
| “No, I would not be surprised.” | 4.4 | 2.0–9.5 |
| C-statistic | 0.67 | |
| Multivariable analysisa | ||
|---|---|---|
| “Surprise question” | ||
| “Yes, I would be surprised.” | Reference | |
| “No, I would not be surprised.” | 4.0 | 1.8–8.7 |
| C-statistic | 0.72 | |
a
Multivariable analysis includes the PREDICT score, physician experience, and “surprise question.”