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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Jan 1.
Published in final edited form as: Am J Cardiol. 2019 Oct 10;125(1):55–62. doi: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2019.09.032

Figure 2. Observed vs Predicted Probability of Atrial Fibrillation at 5 Years.

Figure 2.

The predicted and observed event probability estimates represent the mean predicted probability from the Cox regression model and the mean observed probability from the population divided into categories of predicted probability. Panel A, Calibration of the CHARGE-AF Simple model; Panel B, Calibraron of the CHARGE-AF Enriched model; Panel C, Calibration of the All Predictors Model; Panel D, Calibration of the Novel MESA Model.

CHARGE = Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology; MESA = Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis