Table 4. Order analyses for the OxCal Date estimates for each site Phase extracted from S5 File from the Model 2 versions with 0–120 years, 0–100 years and 0–80 years uniform probability Interval query constraints on the duration of each individual site Phase.
Order, Model 2, 0–120 years Interval Constraint | |||||||||||
Probability t1 < t2 | |||||||||||
t1 | |||||||||||
Date Snell Pits | Date Pethick | Date Second Woods | Date Getman | Date Elwood | Date Smith-Pagerie | Date Otstungo | Date Klock | Date Cayadutta Midden | Date Garoga | Date Wormuth | |
Date Snell | 0.00 | 0.99 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Date Pethick | 0.01 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Date Second Woods | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.55 | 0.69 | 0.91 | 0.90 | 0.97 | 0.96 | 0.99 | 0.97 |
Date Getman | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.59 | 0.80 | 0.83 | 0.93 | 0.92 | 0.97 | 0.94 |
Date Elwood | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.31 | 0.41 | 0.00 | 0.79 | 0.80 | 0.92 | 0.91 | 0.95 | 0.92 |
Date Smith-Pagerie | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.57 | 0.73 | 0.74 | 0.81 | 0.77 |
Date Otstungo | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.17 | 0.20 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 0.64 | 0.68 | 0.75 | 0.72 |
Date Klock | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.27 | 0.36 | 0.00 | 0.55 | 0.61 | 0.60 |
Date Cayadutta | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.26 | 0.32 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.52 | 0.55 |
Date Garoga | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.19 | 0.25 | 0.39 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 0.55 |
Date Wormuth | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.23 | 0.28 | 0.40 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.00 |
Order, Model 2, 0–100 years Interval Constraint re-run excluding also UCIAMS192976 | |||||||||||
Probability t1 < t2 | |||||||||||
t1 | |||||||||||
Date Snell Pits | Date Pethick | Date Second Woods | Date Getman | Date Elwood | Date Smith-Pagerie | Date Otstungo | Date Klock | Date Cayadutta Midden | Date Garoga | Date Wormuth | |
Date Snell | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Date Pethick | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Date Second Woods | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.63 | 0.68 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.98 | 0.97 | 0.99 | 0.97 |
Date Getman | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 0.00 | 0.52 | 0.79 | 0.83 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.98 | 0.94 |
Date Elwood | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.32 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 0.80 | 0.82 | 0.93 | 0.92 | 0.96 | 0.93 |
Date Smith-Pagerie | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.58 | 0.73 | 0.74 | 0.81 | 0.77 |
Date Otstungo | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.42 | 0.00 | 0.62 | 0.67 | 0.74 | 0.72 |
Date Klock | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.27 | 0.38 | 0.00 | 0.57 | 0.62 | 0.62 |
Date Cayadutta | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.26 | 0.33 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 0.51 | 0.55 |
Date Garoga | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.19 | 0.26 | 0.38 | 0.49 | 0.00 | 0.56 |
Date Wormuth | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.23 | 0.28 | 0.38 | 0.45 | 0.44 | 0.00 |
Order, Model 2, 0–80 years Interval Constraint re-run excluding also UCIAMS192976 | |||||||||||
Probability t1 < t2 | |||||||||||
t1 | |||||||||||
Date Snell Pits | Date Pethick | Date Second Woods | Date Getman | Date Elwood | Date Smith-Pagerie | Date Otstungo | Date Klock | Date Cayadutta Midden | Date Garoga | Date Wormuth | |
Date Snell | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Date Pethick | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Date Second Woods | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.63 | 0.69 | 0.92 | 0.94 | 0.98 | 0.98 | 1.00 | 0.98 |
Date Getman | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 0.00 | 0.54 | 0.83 | 0.89 | 0.96 | 0.95 | 0.99 | 0.96 |
Date Elwood | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.31 | 0.46 | 0.00 | 0.82 | 0.87 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.97 | 0.95 |
Date Smith-Pagerie | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.63 | 0.74 | 0.75 | 0.82 | 0.79 |
Date Otstungo | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.37 | 0.00 | 0.57 | 0.63 | 0.67 | 0.68 |
Date Klock | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.26 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 0.57 | 0.62 | 0.63 |
Date Cayadutta | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.25 | 0.38 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.56 |
Date Garoga | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.18 | 0.33 | 0.38 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.60 |
Date Wormuth | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.21 | 0.32 | 0.37 | 0.44 | 0.40 | 0.00 |
The probabilities shown are for t1 as less than, that is older than, t2. Data from OxCal [23, 38] and IntCal13 [22] with curve resolution set at 1 year. See comments in S1 Appendix. Probabilities >0.5 are in bold italic font.