Table 5. Selected results from runs of Model 3 and Model 3A (see S7 File, S8 File) and compared to the date estimates of Snow [17].
Site (Date Estimate) | Model 3 Modelled 68.2% |
Model 3 Modelled 95.4% |
Model 3A Modelled 68.2% | Model 3A Modelled 95.4% | Snow [17] Date | Snow [17] reference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Snell | 1278–1288 | 1270–1297 | 1278–1288 | 1269–1297 | 1275–1350 | p. 55 |
Pethick | 1356–1389 | 1318–1409 | 1357–1389 | 1322–1410 | N/A | N/A |
Second Woods | 1442–1465 | 1419–1474 | 1442–1465 | 1419–1474 | 1400–1450 | p. 97 |
Getman | 1453–1475 | 1441–1485 | 1453–1475 | 1441–1486 | 1450–1500 | p. 89 |
Elwood | 1465–1485 | 1455–1495 | 1465–1485 | 1455–1496 | 1450–1500 | p. 89 |
Smith-Pagerie | 1478–1497 | 1469–1509 | 1478–1498 | 1470–1510 | 1560–1580 | p. 29 |
Otstungo | 1488–1509 | 1477–1522 | 1488–1511 | 1477–1525 | 1450–1525 | p. 89 |
Klock | 1499–1519 | 1446–1568 | 1499–1521 | 1487–1556 (95.1%) 1558–1560 (0.3%) |
1540–1565 | p. 29 |
Cayadutta | 1504–1539 | 1497–1578 | 1507–1540 (40.9%) 1564–1592 (27.3%) |
1502–1602 | 1525–1545 | p.29 |
Garoga | 1521–1528 (8.2%) 1540–1580 (60.0%) |
1514–1593 | 1518–1534 (22.1%) 1542–1576 (46.1%) |
1509–1593 | 1525–1545 | p. 29 |
Wormuth | 1567–1602 | 1536–1617 | 1573–1608 | 1542–1620 | 1450–1525 | p. 89 |
Briggs Run | 1606–1631 | 1592–1635 | 1599–1628 | 1585–1632 (94.3%) 1634–1625 (1.1%) |
1614–1626 | p. 29 |
Palatine Bridge | 1580–1606 | 1580–1625 | 1589–1600 (17.8%) 1612–1632 50.4%) |
1584–1633 | N/A | N/A |
Where Snow states a revised age or similar we cite this (e.g. Snow [17], p.29 cites revised ages for Wormuth, Garoga, Klock, Smith-Pagerie, Cayadutta, Otstungo and Elwood, Snow [17], p.55 cites a revised age for Snell, and Snow [17], p.89 cites revised ages for Wormuth, Otstungo, Elwood and Getman). See also Fig 5. Note there are small differences in results between different model runs, typically of just a few (e.g. 0–2) years.