Table 8. A re-run of Model 2 with uniform probability Interval query constraint of 0–100 years applied to each site Phase and adding Palatine Bridge and Briggs Run with a 1580 TPQ applied to both these sites.
Probability t1 < t2 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
t1 | t2 | ||||||||||||
Date Snell | Date Pethick | Date Second Woods | Date Getman | Date Elwood | Date Smith-Pagerie | Date Otstungo | Date Klock | Date Cayadutta | Date Garoga | Date Wormuth | Date Briggs Run | Date Palatine Bridge | |
Date Snell | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Date Pethick | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Date Second Woods | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.63 | 0.68 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.98 | 0.97 | 0.99 | 0.97 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Date Getman | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 0.00 | 0.53 | 0.79 | 0.83 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.98 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Date Elwood | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.32 | 0.47 | 0.00 | 0.80 | 0.82 | 0.93 | 0.92 | 0.96 | 0.93 | 0.99 | 0.99 |
Date Smith-Pagerie | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.59 | 0.74 | 0.74 | 0.82 | 0.78 | 0.92 | 0.91 |
Date Otstungo | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.41 | 0.00 | 0.63 | 0.67 | 0.74 | 0.72 | 0.92 | 0.92 |
Date Klock | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.26 | 0.37 | 0.00 | 0.55 | 0.61 | 0.61 | 0.87 | 0.86 |
Date Cayadutta | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.26 | 0.33 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.52 | 0.55 | 0.83 | 0.82 |
Date Garoga | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.18 | 0.26 | 0.39 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 0.57 | 0.94 | 0.93 |
Date Wormuth | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.22 | 0.28 | 0.39 | 0.45 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 0.80 | 0.78 |
Date Briggs Run | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 0.06 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.47 |
Date Palatine Bridge | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 0.14 | 0.18 | 0.07 | 0.22 | 0.53 | 0.00 |
All 11 other sites clearly date before Briggs Run and Palatine Bridge (78 to 100% probability). Palatine Bridge is slightly older than Briggs Run in this analysis (compare Fig 9). Probabilities >0.5 are in bold italic font.