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. 2010 Jul 13;15(3):250–258. doi: 10.1111/j.1542-474X.2010.00372.x

Table 3.

Predictors of HF Hospitalization after an AMI

Univariate Analysis Multivariate Analysis Sens./Spec. % AUC
HR 95% CI P HR 95% CI P
Age (years) 1.08 (1.05–1.11) <0.001 1.06 (1.03–1.09) <0.001
GFR 0.97 (0.96–0.99) <0.001 0.99 (0.98–1.01)  0.39
Previous AMI 2.81 (1.75–4.51) <0.001 1.59 (0.88–2.90) 0.13
EF (%) 0.91 (0.89–0.93) <0.001 0.92 (0.90–0.94) <0.001
Diabetes 2.95 (1.86–4.68) <0.001 2.43 (1.51–3.90) <0.001
BNP (pg/mL)  1.004 (1.003–1.005) <0.001  1.003 (1.002–1.004) <0.001 0.77
BNP ≥ 211 pg/mL 7.59  (4.26–13.52) <0.001 4.75 (2.52–8.96) <0.001 34/94
SDNN (ms) 0.98 (0.97–0.99) <0.001 0.99  (0.98–0.996)  0.006 0.69
SDNN ≤ 73 ms 3.06 (1.87–5.03) <0.001 1.53 (0.91–2.59) 0.11 48/79
α1 0.07 (0.03–0.15) <0.001 0.15 (0.06–0.38) <0.001 0.69
α1≤ 1.04 4.29 (2.60–7.08) <0.001 2.61 (1.53–4.44) <0.001 44/85
TS (ms/NN) 0.80 (0.73–0.88) <0.001 0.85 (0.76–0.94)  0.001 0.71
TS ≤ 1.29 ms/NN 3.92 (2.32–6.62) <0.001 2.53 (1.48–4.32)  0.001 45/83
BRS (ms/mmHg) 0.91 (0.85–0.97)  0.002 0.97 (0.91–1.03) 0.34 0.67
BRS ≤ 3.57 ms/mmHg 2.32 (1.26–4.27)  0.007 1.43 (0.77–2.65) 0.26 40/80
BNP/SDNN 1.30 (1.22–1.38) <0.001 1.28 (1.19–1.39) <0.001 0.80
BNP/SDNN ≥ 1.79 7.00  (3.95–12.42) <0.001 3.93 (2.09–7.41) <0.001 49/88
Heart rate 1.04 (1.02–1.06)  0.001 1.03 (1.004–1.05) 0.02 0.61
Heart rate ≥ 72 2.50 (1.53–4.10) <0.001 2.06  (1.25–3.39)  0.005 40/78

α1= short‐term scaling exponent; AUC = area under the curve in the receiver operator characteristics (ROC) curve analysis; EF = left ventricular ejection fraction; GFR = glomerular filtration rate (mL/min/1.73 m2); HR = hazards ratios obtained from the Cox regression; CI = confidence intervals; Sens./Spec. = sensitivity/specificity. Other abbreviations are same as in Table 2. The cutpoints are optimized from the ROC curves at the sensitivity level from 25% to 50%.