Table 1.
Relative risk (RR) of invasive nontyphoid Salmonella (iNTS) and typhoid disease, and 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs) at rainfall in millimetres (mm), temperature in degrees Celsius (°C) and monthly lag-specific values relative to baseline rainfall (0 mm) and temperature (23 °C), with statistical significance (*) at p < 0.05.
RR of iNTS, (95%CI) | RR of typhoid, (95%CI) | RR of iNTS, (95%CI) | RR of typhoid, (95%CI) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month | Rainfall (9 mm) | Rainfall (9 mm) | Rainfall (13 mm) | Rainfall (13 mm) |
Lag 0 | 1.20 (1.01–1.44)* | 0.74 (0.46–1.19) | 1.18 (0.92–1.52) | 0.16 (0.06–0.52)* |
Lag 1 | 1.28 (1.14–1.43)* | 1.13 (0.80–1.59) | 1.06 (0.89–1.27) | 0.20 (0.10–0.43)* |
Lag 2 | 1.32 (1.20–1.46)* | 1.56 (1.21–2.02)* | 0.97 (0.81–1.16) | 0.26 (0.13–0.52)* |
Lag 3 | 1.31 (1.17–1.45)* | 1.86 (1.51–2.30)* | 0.90 (0.73–1.10) | 0.34 (0.16–0.69)* |
Lag 4 | 1.24 (1.11–1.37)* | 1.94 (1.60–2.35)* | 0.85 (0.69–1.04) | 0.43 (0.21–0.87)* |
Lag 5 | 1.14 (1.03–1.26)* | 1.82 (1.51–2.20)* | 0.81 (0.67–0.97)* | 0.55 (0.29–1.04) |
Lag 6 | 1.02 (0.92–1.15) | 1.58 (1.29–1.94)* | 0.78 (0.65–0.93)* | 0.69 (0.38–1.25) |
Lag 7 | 0.91 (0.79–1.04) | 1.30 (1.02–1.66)* | 0.75 (0.61–0.94)* | 0.87 (0.47–1.63) |
Lag 8 | 0.79 (0.66–0.96)* | 1.04 (0.76–1.42) | 0.73 (0.55–0.98)* | 1.1 (0.51–2.38) |
Month | Temperature (19 °C) | Temperature (19 °C) | Temperature (29 °C) | Temperature (25 °C) |
Lag 0 | 0.87 (0.76–1.01) | 1.31 (0.95–1.81) | 0.93 (0.73–1.20) | 0.74 (0.53–1.03) |
Lag 1 | 0.98 (0.88–1.09) | 1.41 (1.09–1.84)* | 0.88 (0.76–1.03) | 0.93 (0.73–1.19) |
Lag 2 | 1.07 (0.97–1.18) | 1.47 (1.08–2.01)* | 0.83 (0.73–0.96)* | 1.12 (0.87–1.43) |
Lag 3 | 1.11 (1.00–1.23)* | 1.44 (1.02–2.05)* | 0.80 (0.69–0.93)* | 1.26 (0.96–1.65) |
Lag 4 | 1.12 (1.02–1.23)* | 1.35 (0.96–1.91) | 0.77 (0.66–0.89)* | 1.34 ((1.03–1.75* |
Lag 5 | 1.09 (1.00–1.19)* | 1.22 (0.89–1.67) | 0.74 (0.65–0.84)* | 1.36 (1.08–1.73)* |
Lag 6 | 1.04 (0.95–1.13) | 1.06 (0.77–1.46) | 0.71 (0.62–0.82)* | 1.34 (1.10–1.64)* |
Lag 7 | 0.98 (0.88–1.08) | 0.91 (0.61–1.35) | 0.69 (0.56–0.84)* | 1.29 (1.07–1.57)* |
Lag 8 | 0.91 (0.80–1.04) | 0.77 (0.45–1.31) | 0.66 (0.50–0.88)* | 1.23 (0.97–1.57) |