Table 2.

Simulated outcomes for three different scenarios based on 2051 inpatients admitted for alcohol withdrawal treatment

	Baseline scenario (8% of patients receiving QWT)	25% of patients receiving QWT		50% of patients receiving QWT
	n (QWT) = 170	n (QWT) = 513		n (QWT) = 1026
	n (SWT) = 1881	n (SWT) = 1538		n (SWT) = 1025
	Mean	Mean	Difference to baseline in %	Mean	Difference to baseline in %
Number of hospitalisations within 5 years	14,325 (13,378 to 15,316)	13,022 (12,139 to 13,929)	−9% (−17 to −0.02%)	11,076 (10,336 to 11,851)	−23% (−30 to −15%)
Number of days spent in hospital within 5 years	264,849 (250,609 to 279,444)	237,394 (224,235 to 250,681)	−10% (−17 to − 3%)	196,331 (184,922 to 208,170)	−26% (−32 to −20%)
Proportion abstinent within 28 months	16% (14 to 17%)	19% (17 to 20%)	+ 18% (3 to 34%)	23% (21 to 25%)	+ 45% (28 to 64%)
Proportion dead within 28 months	14% (12 to 15%)	13% (11 to 14%)	−8% (−22 to 7%)	11% (10 to 12%)	−20% (−33 to −6%)

Note. QWT Qualified withdrawal treatment, SWT Somatic withdrawal treatment

Numbers in brackets represent 95% confidence intervals