Table 1.
Model | Actual Fertility | Desired Fertility | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A | AP | APC | A | AP | APC | |
Age (αi) | ||||||
20–26 | REF | REF | REF | REF | REF | REF |
27–33 | −0.54 | −0.71 | −0.67 | 0.21 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
34–40 | 0.64 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.81 | 0.71 | 0.70 |
41–47 | 0.81 | 0.65 | 0.67 | 0.79 | 0.69 | 0.68 |
Period (βj) | ||||||
1972–1978 | 0.72 | 0.75 | 0.64 | 0.64 | ||
1979–1985 | REF | REF | REF | REF | ||
1986–1992 | 1.05 | 1.07 | 1.03 | 1.03 | ||
1993–1999 | −0.86 | −0.86 | −0.77 | −0.79 | ||
2000–2006 | −0.71 | −0.71 | −0.70 | −0.69 | ||
Mid-Year of birth (γk) | ||||||
1934 | NA | NA | ||||
1941 | 0.99 | 1.03 | ||||
1948 | 1.01 | 1.01 | ||||
1955 | 0.99 | 1.01 | ||||
1962 | REF | REF | ||||
1969 | 1.00 | 0.99 | ||||
1976 | 1.00 | 1.07 | ||||
1983 | 1.13 | 1.09 | ||||
df | 16 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 5 |
Deviance | 1600.778 | 27.938 | 21.587 | 740.663 | 10.944 | 4.371 |
Deviance/df | 100.049 | 2.328 | 4.317 | 46.291 | 0.912 | 0.874 |
p-Value | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | <0.0001 |
Note: A = age model; AP = age-period model; APC = age-period-cohort model; NA = non-available; REF = reference.