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. 2019 Aug 29;91(1):58–66. doi: 10.1136/jnnp-2019-321124

Table 1.

Supportive and sensitivity analyses of primary end points at end of study (up to Month 24)*

Fingolimod
(n=107)
Interferon β-1a
(n=107)
Rate ratio or between-group difference (95% CI) Rate reduction P value
Estimated annualised relapse rate (95% CI)†
 FAS 0.12 (0.08 to 0.19) 0.67 (0.52 to 0.89) 0.18 (0.11 to 0.30) 81.9% <0.001
 Excluding data after SDD 0.12 (0.08 to 0.20) 0.73 (0.55 to 0.96) 0.17 (0.10 to 0.29) 83.1% <0.001
 PPS N’=96
0.12 (0.07 to 0.20)
N’=101
0.72 (0.53 to 0.97)
0.17 (0.10 to 0.30)  83.2%  <0.001
 Excluding IFN NAbs-positive patients N’=107
0.12 (0.08 to 0.20)
N’=98
0.67 (0.50 to 0.89)
0.19 (0.11 to 0.31)  81.5%  <0.001
 Treatment-naïve patients N’=69
0.07 (0.04 to 0.15)
N’=67
0.50 (0.34 to 0.74)
0.14 (0.06 to 0.32)  85.8%  <0.001
Observed annualised relapse rate
 Patients ≤12 years N’=13
0.10
N’=9
0.72
See model
 Prepubertal patients N’=7
0.20
N’=3
1.49
See model
 Pubertal patients N’=98
0.13
N’=104
0.73
See model
Model-based annualised relapse rate based on extrapolation from all paediatric patients (95% CI)
 Younger patients‡
  Overall FAS 0.12 (0.07 to 0.19) 0.73 (0.56 to 0.97) 0.16 (0.1 to 0.28) 83.8% <0.001
  10 years 0.04 (0.01 to 0.21) 0.76 (0.29 to 2.03) 0.05 (0.01 to 0.36) 94.6% 0.003
  11 years 0.05 (0.01 to 0.20) 0.76 (0.33 to 1.71) 0.07 (0.01 to 0.33) 93.4% <0.001
  12 years 0.06 (0.02 to 0.19) 0.75 (0.39 to 1.44) 0.08 (0.02 to 0.30) 91.9% <0.001
 Prepubertal patients§ N’=7 N’=3 Pos-Prob¶:
0.16 (0.00 to 0.89) 1.97 (0.20 to 10.53) 0.26 (0.00 to 1.82)  73.9% 93.8%
 Pubertal patients N’=98 N’=104
0.08 (0.04 to 0.15) 0.72 (0.54 to 0.96) 0.12 (0.05 to 0.22)  88.2%  100.0%
 All relapses (confirmed and unconfirmed)
  FAS FAS 0.18 (0.13 to 0.26) 0.80 (0.64 to 1.01) 0.23 (0.15 to 0.35) 77.4% <0.001
  PPS N’=96
0.17 (0.11 to 0.26)
N’=101
0.81 (0.63 to 1.04)
0.21 (0.13 to 0.34) 78.6% <0.001

End of study defined as the last assessment taken on or before the final study phase visit date.

*Unless otherwise stated.

†Between-treatment comparison obtained from fitting a negative binomial regression model adjusted as described in methodology.

‡Estimated at a given age at baseline by fitting a negative binomial regression model adjusted for treatment, age at baseline, region, pubertal status (stratified variable), number of relapses within the previous 2 years before randomisation as well as age and treatment interaction.

§Obtained from fitting a Bayesian-negative binomial regression model with mixture priors adjusted for treatment, age, number of relapses within the previous 2 years before randomisation as well as age and treatment interaction.

¶Pos-Prob indicates the posterior probability of the rate ratio is <1, ie, the probability of the ARR with fingolimod being lower than the ARR with IFN β-1a.

ARR, annualised relapse rate; FAS, full analysis set; IFN, interferon; N’, total number of subjects with available result and included in the analysis; NAbs, neutralising antibodies; PPS, per-protocol set; SDD, study drug discontinuation.