Table 3.

Smoking rate by gender, as simulated by Taiwan SimSmoke

Gender	Scenario		2010	2015	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060
Overall	Status Quo	Current smokers	22.2%	21.1%	18.9%	17.4%	15.8%	14.6%	13.9%
		Never smokers	67.1%	68.3%	69.7%	71.6%	74.1%	76.9%	79.6%
	Counterfactual	Current smokers	30.3%	30.0%	30.1%	29.7%	28.8%	28.4%	28.4%
		Never smokers	65.3%	65.5%	65.3%	65.3%	65.9%	66.3%	66.5%
	Full200	Current smokers	//	//	15.2%	13.4%	11.6%	10.3%	9.5%
		Never smokers	//	//	70.3%	72.8%	75.9%	79.3%	82.9%
	Full300	Current smokers	//	//	14.4%	12.6%	10.8%	9.5%	8.7%
		Never smokers	//	//	70.5%	73.2%	76.4%	79.9%	83.7%
Women	Status Quo	Current smokers	4.5%	4.4%	4.0%	3.9%	3.7%	3.5%	3.3%
		Never smokers	93.4%	93.6%	93.9%	94.3%	94.8%	95.1%	95.6%
	Counterfactual	Current smokers	6.2%	6.3%	6.5%	6.6%	6.7%	6.9%	6.9%
		Never smokers	92.9%	92.8%	92.8%	92.7%	92.7%	92.6%	92.5%
	Full200	Current smokers	//	//	3.2%	3.0%	2.7%	2.5%	2.3%
		Never smokers	//	//	94.1%	94.6%	95.2%	95.7%	96.3%
	Full300	Current smokers	//	//	3.0%	2.8%	2.5%	2.3%	2.1%
		Never smokers	//	//	94.1%	94.7%	95.3%	95.9%	96.5%
Men	Status Quo	Current smokers	37.6%	34.9%	30.7%	27.4%	24.3%	22.3%	21.1%
		Never smokers	41.3%	43.2%	45.5%	48.6%	53.1%	57.8%	62.3%
	Counterfactual	Current smokers	51.6%	50.5%	50.0%	48.5%	46.5%	45.5%	45.0%
		Never smokers	38.2%	38.4%	37.9%	37.5%	38.3%	38.8%	39.0%
	Full200	Current smokers	//	//	24.5%	20.6%	17.3%	15.3%	13.9%
		Never smokers	//	//	46.6%	50.9%	56.4%	62.3%	68.2%
	Full300	Current smokers	//	//	23.2%	19.3%	16.1%	14.0%	12.7%
		Never smokers	//	//	46.9%	51.5%	57.2%	63.4%	69.6%