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. 2019 Oct 8;8:e46402. doi: 10.7554/eLife.46402

Table 1. Six pairs of colonisations for whom transmission was reconstructed with a posterior score of at least 0.95 and, for those reconstructed transmissions, a posterior median of at least five tips were in the recipient subgraphs.

Each row gives the posterior median and the limits of the 95% highest posterior density (HPD) interval for the number of reconstructed transmissions between the subjects, in either direction. The posterior median number of tips in the recipient subgraphs, and the nucleotide diversity amongst those tips, are also given. In five cases the inferred direction of transmission is clear, but for C183 and C194 it is not.

Colonisation A Colonisation B Number of A to B transitions 95 % HPD Tips in descendant B subgraphs (median) Nucleotide diversity transmitted to B (median) Number of B to A transitions 95% HPD Tips in descendant A subgraphs (median) Nucleotide diversity transmitted to A (median) Direction
Median Lower Upper Median Lower Upper
C012 C137 3 2 3 79 1.46E-06 0 0 0 0 NA A to B
C012 C159b 34 25 38 39 2.20E-06 1 0 6 1 1.40E-06 A to B
C126 C234 3 3 3 10 1.92E-06 0 0 0 0 NA A to B
C126 C271a 1 1 1 21 3.11E-07 0 0 0 0 NA A to B
C126 C327a 5 4 5 9 2.68E-06 0 0 0 0 NA A to B
C183 C194 15 1 23 31 3.41E-07 5 0 19 12 7.08E-07 Unclear