Table 3. Parameter estimates by the best model.
| Parameter | Prior | Estimate (95% CrI) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| External risk (εk) | Student | 1-LogUnif(0,1)* | 0.197 (0.188–0.207) |
| Sibling | 0.161 (0.153–0.169) | ||
| Mother | 0.035 (0.030–0.040) | ||
| Father | 0.038 (0.033–0.043) | ||
| Other | 0.013 (0.009–0.017) | ||
| Contact intensity (ckl) | Child-Child | Unif(0,∞) | 1.04 (0.88–1.23) |
| Mother-Child | 1.16 (1.00–1.32) | ||
| Father-Mother | 1 (0.748–1.282) | ||
| Other-Other | 1.97 (1.10–3.24) | ||
| Cross generational | 0.43 (0.35–0.52) | ||
| Transmissibility (β) | (derived quantity; not sampled by MCMC) | 0.20 (0.16–0.24) | |
| Exponent parameter (γ) | Unif(−∞,∞) | 0.51 (0.33–0.69) |
* Cumulative force of infection is uniformly distributed.