Table 3:
Predictors of subsequent flares among Olmsted County, Minnesota residents with incident gout in 1989-1992 compared with 2009-2010 based on univariable models
| Predictors at gout incidence | Hazard Ratio (95% Confidence Interval) |
|---|---|
| Diagnosis year 2009-2010 (vs. 1989-1992) | 1.14 (0.95, 1.36) |
| Age (per 10-year change) | 1.01 (0.96, 1.06) |
| Sex, male | 1.16 (0.94, 1.42) |
| More than one joint affected | 1.23 (0.96, 1.59) |
| Joint other than 1st Meta-Tarsophalangeal affected | 1.16 (0.98, 1.38) |
| Starting uric acid lowering therapy | 0.95 (0.74, 1.22) |
| Serum uric acid level | 1.13 (1.07, 1.19) |
| Abnormal serum uric acid (≥7mg/dL for males and ≥6mg/dL for females) | 1.59 (1.16, 2.18) |
| Body mass index ≥30 kg/m2 | 0.96 (0.81, 1.13) |
| Diuretic use | 1.17 (0.99, 1.38) |
| Total cholesterol (per 10 mg/dL change) | 1.00 (0.98, 1.02) |
| Triglycerides (per 10 mg/dL change) | 1.00 (0.99, 1.01) |
| Kidney disease | 1.34 (1.12, 1.61) |
| Hypertension | 1.07 (0.90, 1.27) |
| Diabetes mellitus | 1.16 (0.94, 1.43) |
| Hyperlipidemia | 1.04 (0.88, 1.23) |