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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Jan 15.
Published in final edited form as: Transp Res D Transp Environ. 2019;77:132–147. doi: 10.1016/j.trd.2019.09.003

TABLE 1:

Fractional change in end use demand (DMD) and fuel efficiency (EFF) compared to BAU for each of the four scenarios.

LDV DMD 2020 2025 2030 HDV DMD 2020 2025 2030
Cake 1.2 1.4 1.67 Cake 1.13 1.26 1.43
Stuck 1.03 1.07 1.11 Stuck 1.03 1.07 1.11
Strong 1.2 1.4 1.68 Strong 1.2 1.41 1.68
Dystopian 1.2 1.4 1.65 Dystopian 1.14 1.27 1.45
LDV EFF 2020 2025 2030 HDV EFF 2020 2025 2030
Cake 1.30 1.86 4.32 Cake 1.09 1.20 1.39
Stuck 1.06 1.12 1.22 Stuck 1.05 1.11 1.20
Strong 1.26 1.71 3.27 Strong 1.09 1.20 1.39
Dystopian 0.91 0.84 0.76 Dystopian 1 1 1