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. 2019 Nov 21;46(1):59–66. doi: 10.1136/bmjsrh-2018-200197

Table 1.

Factors associated with the intent to have a second child among 11 991 women of childbearing age

Factor n (%) Intent Univariate model Multivariate model
To have a second child (n (%)) cORs (95% CI) P value aORs (95% CI) P value
Total 11 991 4725 (39.4)
Year
 2016 3647 (30.4) 1316 (36.1) 1 1
 2017 8344 (69.6) 3409 (40.9) 1.22 (1.13 to 1.33) <0.001 1.31 (1.17 to 1.48) <0.001
Age (years)
 <25 2748 (22.9) 556 (20.2) 1 1
 25–29 3151 (26.3) 1308 (41.5) 2.80 (2.49 to 3.15) <0.001 1.28 (1.10 to 1.50) 0.002
 30–34 2588 (21.6) 1390 (53.7) 4.57 (4.05 to 5.16) <0.001 1.30 (1.09 to 1.55) 0.004
 35–39 1812 (15.1) 900 (49.7) 3.89 (3.41 to 4.43) <0.001 1.29 (1.15 to 1.44) 0.016
 ≥40 1692 (14.1) 571 (33.7) 2.01 (1.75 to 2.30) <0.001 0.99 (0.82 to 1.19) 0.902
Region
 Eastern 8422 (70.2) 3275 (38.9) 1.23 (1.07 to 1.41) 0.004 1.28 (1.10 to 1.49) 0.001
 Central 2582 (21.5) 1113 (43.1) 1.46 (1.25 to 1.70) <0.001 1.50 (1.27 to 1.78) <0.001
 Western 987 (8.2) 337 (34.1) 1 1
Ethnicity
 Han 11 651 (97.2) 4595 (39.4) 1
 Other 340 (2.8) 130 (38.2) 0.95 (0.76 to 1.19) 0.654
Residence
 Rural 4595 (38.3) 1974 (43.0) 1.27 (1.18 to 1.37) <0.001 1.62 (1.47 to 1.78) <0.001
 Urban 7396 (61.7) 2751 (37.2) 1 1
Educational level
 Primary school or below 109 (0.9) 36 (33.0) 1
 Junior high school 1632 (13.6) 746 (45.7) 1.71 (1.13 to 2.57) 0.011
 Senior high school 1088 (9.1) 493 (45.3) 1.68 (1.11 to 2.55) 0.015
 College or higher 9162 (76.4) 3450 (37.7) 1.22 (0.82 to 1.83) 0.322
Marriage
 Single 4441 (37.0) 941 (21.2) 1 1
 Married 7550 (63.0) 3784 (50.1) 3.74 (3.43 to 4.07) <0.001 1.74 (1.50 to 2.02) <0.001
Occupation
 Factory worker 1614 (13.5) 710 (44.0) 1 1
 Farmer 300 (2.5) 176 (58.7) 1.81 (1.41 to 2.32) <0.001 1.43 (1.09 to 1.88) 0.010
 Manager 3323 (27.7) 1432 (43.1) 0.96 (0.86 to 1.09) 0.551 1.07 (0.94 to 1.22) 0.323
 Rural migrant worker 1392 (11.6) 681 (48.9) 1.22 (1.06 to 1.41) 0.007 1.11 (0.95 to 1.30) 0.200
 Clerk 1714 (14.3) 594 (34.7) 0.68 (0.59 to 0.78) <0.001 0.86 (0.71 to 1.03) 0.103
 Student 1592 (13.3) 240 (15.1) 0.23 (0.19 to 0.27) <0.001 0.63 (0.51 to 0.79) <0.001
 Other 2056 (17.1) 892 (43.4) 0.98 (0.86 to 1.11) 0.714 1.02 (0.88 to 1.18) 0.806
Annual household income (RMB)
 <30 000 3650 (30.4) 1151 (31.5) 1 1
 30 000–80 000 4406 (36.7) 1847 (41.9) 1.57 (1.43 to 1.72) <0.001 0.99 (0.88 to 1.10) 0.798
 >80 000 3935 (32.8) 1727 (43.9) 1.70 (1.55 to 1.87) <0.001 1.13 (1.00 to 1.28) 0.047
History of abortion
 No 10 073 (84.0) 3758 (37.3) 1 1
 Yes 1918 (16.0) 967 (50.4) 1.71 (1.55 to 1.88) <0.001 1.18 (1.05 to 1.31) 0.004
First child
 Boy 3639 (30.3) 1811 (49.8) 3.47 (3.16 to 3.80) <0.001 2.70 (2.33 to 3.13) <0.001
 Girl 3091 (25.8) 1745 (56.5) 4.54 (4.12 to 5.00) <0.001 3.65 (3.14 to 4.24) <0.001
 None 5261 (43.9) 1169 (22.2) 1 1
Barriers to having more children
 Economic barrier 5576 (46.5) 2110 (37.8) 0.65 (0.56 to 0.76) <0.001 0.37 (0.31 to 0.43) <0.001
 Health barrier 1862 (15.5) 731 (39.3) 0.69 (0.59 to 0.82) <0.001 0.39 (0.32 to 0.47) <0.001
 Childrearing barrier 2040 (17.0) 794 (38.9) 0.68 (0.58 to 0.81) <0.001 0.32 (0.27 to 0.39) <0.001
 Educational barrier 1752 (14.6) 723 (41.3) 0.75 (0.64 to 0.90) <0.001 0.38 (0.32 to 0.46) <0.001
 Other 761 (6.3) 367 (48.2) 1 1

aOR, adjusted odds ratio; cOR, crude odds ratio;RMB, renminbi.