Table 1. CRC cases and deaths per 100,000 prevented by ACA’s health exchanges and Medicaid expansion among White and African American males in NC.
| Potential cases and deaths per 100,000 |
Potential cases and deaths prevented per 100,000 | Potential cases and deaths per 100,000 | Potential cases and deaths prevented per 100,000 |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Health Exchange + Medicaid expansion* | |||||||
| Control (no ACA) | Health Exchange Only (Status Quo) | Health Exchange Only (Status Quo) | (High Enroll, Low Compliance) | (High Enroll, High Compliance) | (Low Enroll, Low Compliance) | (Low Enroll, High Compliance) | |
| Mean (SD) | Mean (SD) | ||||||
| African American Males (N = 338,288) | |||||||
| CRC Deaths | 1,589.4 | 16.0 (3.4) | 1,573.4 | 6.6 (2.6) | 14.7 (2.7) | 3.4 (1.1) | 12.7 (1.6) |
| CRC Cases | 3,178.7 | 28.0 (4.6) | 3,150.6 | 11.4 (3.0) | 25.5 (5.6) | 7.1 (4.6) | 14.1 (3.8) |
| Stage 1 | 727.6 | 4.9 (1.8) | 722.8 | 3.1 (0.9) | 4.3 (2.5) | 2.1 (1.4) | 2.0 (1.4) |
| Stage 2 | 842.8 | 5.7 (3.1) | 837.2 | 2.8 (0.9) | 5.9 (2.8) | 1.8 (0.8) | 4.0 (2.3) |
| Stage 3 | 728.4 | 6.9 (1.8) | 721.6 | 1.9 (1.1) | 4.8 (2.0) | 1.4 (0.8) | 2.7 (1.2) |
| Stage 4 | 879.8 | 10.6 (2.6) | 869.1 | 3.6 (2.7) | 10.5 (4.5) | 1.8 (1.4) | 5.5 (2.2) |
| White Males (N = 1,495,527) | |||||||
| CRC Deaths | 1,517.3 | 4.7 (1.0) | 1,512.6 | 4.7 (1.0) | 9.5 (1.2) | 2.3 (0.6) | 5.1 (0.6) |
| CRC Cases | 3,132.9 | 7.9 (1.0) | 3,125.0 | 7.8 (2.0) | 16.4 (5.0) | 4.1 (0.9) | 9.3 (0.3) |
| Stage 1 | 724.0 | 1.1 (0.5) | 722.9 | 1.2 (0.5) | 2.1 (0.3) | 0.5 (0.4) | 1.3 (0.2) |
| Stage 2 | 821.3 | 2.0 (0.6) | 819.4 | 2.0 (0.6) | 3.9 (1.0) | 1.2 (0.3) | 2.3 (0.4) |
| Stage 3 | 754.2 | 1.9 (0.7) | 752.2 | 1.9 (0.8) | 4.7 (0.8) | 1.0 (0.5) | 2.5 (0.7) |
| Stage 4 | 833.4 | 2.9 (0.4) | 830.5 | 2.6 (0.6) | 5.7 (0.4) | 1.5 (0.5) | 3.2 (0.4) |
*assumptions about enrollment and compliance relative to Medicaid expansion only