Table 1:
Variable | Base Case | Citation | Range Tested | Distribution‡ |
---|---|---|---|---|
Age | 70 | SEER12 | 55 – 85 | Binomial |
Five-year disease-free survival | 0.61 | Dziedzic21 | 0.25 – 0.8 | Beta |
Five-year overall survival | 0.55 | SEER12 | 0.3 – 0.6 | Beta |
Health utilities | Beta | |||
Disease-free | 0.79 | Tramontano15 | 0.76 – 0.83 | |
Disease-recurrence | 0.76 | Tramontano15 | 0.70 – 0.80 | |
Benefit related to exercise* | 0.05 | Groessl13 | 0.01 – 0.10 | |
Costs ($/patient/year) | Gamma | |||
Exercise interventions** | ||||
LIFE physical activity | 1,361 (1,855) | Groessl13 | 500 – 2,500 | |
LIFE health education | 413 (1,210) | Groessl13 | 250 – 1,000 | |
Usual care | 0 (203) | N/A† | N/A | |
Treatment of recurrent disease | 95,363 | Bradley19 | 80,000–120,000 | |
Probability of increasing exercise | Beta | |||
Physical activity/exercise | 0.60 | Gordon16 | 0.40 – 0.80 | |
Health education | 0.10 | N/A† | 0.10 – 0.20 | |
Usual care | 0 | N/A† | 0 – 0.10 | |
Probability of dropout/lost to follow-up* | 0.10 | Speck17 | 0.10 – 0.20 | Beta |
Parameter values at one year.
Opportunity costs entered in parentheses.
Parameter assumed.
Per standard recommendations for cost-effectiveness analysis models 40.
LIFE = Lifestyle Interventions and Independence for Elders study; SEER = Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program