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Model external validity and status quo projections for the rate of new incidence. Year 2012-2015: calibration period; Year 2016-2040: projection period; Year 2021-2040: evaluation period. (A) ATL: Atlanta; (B) BAL: Baltimore; (C) LA: Los Angeles; (D) MIA: Miami; (E) NYC: New York City; (F) SEA: Seattle.
