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. 2011 Jul 6;2011(7):CD006207. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD006207.pub4

MacIntyre 2009.

Methods Prospective cluster‐randomised trial carried out in Sydney, Australia, to assess the use of surgical masks, P2 masks and no masks in preventing influenza‐like illness (ILI) in households. The study was carried out during the 2 winter seasons of 2006 and 2007 (August to the end of October 2006 and June to the end of October 2007). “Gaussian random effects were incorporated in the model to account for the natural clustering of persons in households"
Participants 290 adults from 145 families; 47 households (94 enrolled adults and 180 children) were randomised to the surgical mask group, 46 (92 enrolled adults and 172 children) to the P2 mask group, and 52 (104 enrolled adults and 192 children) to the no‐mask (control) group
Interventions Use of surgical masks and P2 mask versus no mask. The P2 mask is described as very cumbersome
Outcomes Laboratory: serological evidence
Effectiveness:
 Influenza‐like illness (ILI) (described as fever, history of fever or feeling feverish in the past week, myalgia, arthralgia, sore throat, cough, sneezing, runny nose, nasal congestion, headache)
 However, a positive laboratory finding for influenza converts the ILI definition into one of influenza
 
 Safety:N/A
Notes The authors conclude that adherence to mask use significantly reduced the risk for ILI‐associated infection, but < 50% of participants wore masks most of the time. We concluded that household use of face masks is associated with low adherence and is ineffective for controlling seasonal respiratory disease. Compliance was by self‐report – therefore likely to be an underestimate
 The primary outcome was ILI or lab‐positive illness. This showed no effect
 Sensitivity analysis by adherence showed that under the assumption that the incubation period is equal to 1 day (the most probable value for the 2 most common viruses isolated, influenza (21) and rhinovirus (26)), adherent use of P2 or surgical masks significantly reduces the risk for ILI infection, with a hazard ratio equal to 0.26 (95% CI 0.09 to 0.77; P = 0.015). No other covariate was significant. Under the less likely assumption that the incubation period is equal to 2 days, the quantified effect of complying with P2 or surgical mask use remains strong, although borderline significant; hazard ratio was 0.32 (95% CI 0.11 to 0.98; P = 0.046). The study was underpowered to determine if there was a difference in efficacy between P2 and surgical masks (Table 5). The study conclusion appears to be a post‐hoc data exploration. Regardless of this the study message is that respirator use in a family setting is unlikely to be effective as compliance is difficult unless there is a situation of real impending risk
Risk of bias
Bias Authors' judgement Support for judgement
Random sequence generation (selection bias) Low risk "Participating households were randomised to 1 of 3 arms by a secure computerised randomisation process:"
Allocation concealment (selection bias) Unclear risk Not reported
Blinding (performance bias and detection bias) 
 All outcomes Low risk "Study participants and trial staff were not blinded, as it is not technically possible to blind the mask type to which participants were randomised. However, laboratory staff were blinded to the arm of randomisation."
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) 
 All outcomes Low risk 143 families of 145 randomised were analysed; 2 families in the control group were lost to follow up during the study. No reason was given for this
Selective reporting (reporting bias) Low risk No differences between groups at baseline