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. 2020 Jan 31;21:60. doi: 10.1186/s12891-020-3073-3

Table 3.

Baseline Person-Based Characteristics Associated with Accelerated Knee Osteoarthritis (AKOA) During Each Phase

Phase 1: Year 1 - Year 5 (n = 715; 702 in model)
Variable No KOA (n = 585) Typical KOA (n = 92) AKOA (n = 25) AKOA vs No KOA AKOA vs Typical KOA AKOA vs No KOA AKOA vs Typical KOA
m (sd) m (sd) m (sd) OR (95% CI) OR (95% CI) aOR (95% CI) aOR (95% CI)
Age (sd = 5.8 years) 53.7 (5.9) 55.6 (5.3) 56.7 (5.0) 1.65 (1.10, 2.47) 1.20 (0.77, 1.87) 1.88 (1.21, 2.93) 1.29 (0.79, 2.10)
BMI (sd = 3.9 kg/m2) 24.9 (3.7) 26.4 (4.6) 25.9 (3.8) 1.30 (0.90, 1.87) 0.91 (0.61, 1.34) 1.30 (0.87, 1.93) 0.87 (0.57, 1.34)
Systolic BP (sd = 20 mmHg) 127 (21) 128 (19) 126 (15) 0.95 (0.63, 1.44) 0.90 (0.58, 1.42) 0.44 (0.21, 0.91) 0.53 (0.24, 1.16)
Diastolic BP (sd = 11 mmHg) 78 (11) 79 (11) 80 (8) 1.22 (0.84, 1.77) 1.13 (0.74, 1.71) 1.75 (0.91, 3.36) 1.78 (0.87, 3.62)
Phase 2: Year 5 - Year 10 (n = 574; 539 used in model)
Variable No KOA (n = 365) Typical KOA (n = 157) AKOA (n = 17) AKOA vs No KOA AKOA vs Typical KOA AKOA vs No KOA AKOA vs Typical KOA
m (sd) m (sd) m (sd) OR (95% CI) OR (95% CI) aOR (95% CI) aOR (95% CI)
Age (sd = 5.8 years) 57.2 (5.6) 58.1 (5.8) 62.1 (6.5) 2.33 (1.39, 3.90) 1.98 (1.17, 3.35) 2.87 (1.61, 5.11) 2.54 (1.41, 4.56)
BMI (sd = 4.1 kg/m2) 25.5 (3.8) 26.4 (4.6) 29.1 (4.6) 1.96 (1.35, 2.86) 1.55 (1.06, 2.26) 2.76 (1.69, 4.52) 2.26 (1.37, 3.71)
Systolic BP (sd = 19 mmHg) 123 (19) 127 (20) 125 (16) 1.09 (0.67, 1.77) 0.89 (0.54, 1.46) 0.89 (0.47, 1.68) 0.81 (0.42, 1.54)
Diastolic BP (sd = 12 mmHg) 74 (12) 75.6 (13) 69.4 (15) 0.66 (0.38, 1.14) 0.56 (0.32, 0.99) 0.39 (0.20, 0.75) 0.38 (0.20, 0.74)
Phase 3: Year 10 - Year 15 (n = 377; 374 used in model)
Variable No KOA (n = 272) Typical KOA (n = 82) AKOA (n = 20) AKOA vs No KOA AKOA vs Typical KOA AKOA vs No KOA AKOA vs Typical KOA
m (sd) m (sd) m (sd) OR (95% CI) OR (95% CI) aOR (95% CI) aOR (95% CI)
Age (sd = 5.5 years) 61.4 (5.5) 61.1 (5.1) 63.9 (6.4) 1.52 (0.98, 2.35) 1.62 (1.01, 2.60) 1.38 (0.88, 2.15) 1.35 (0.83, 2.22)
BMI (sd = 3.9 kg/m2) 25.5 (3.7) 26.7 (4.4) 26.1 (3.8) 1.17 (0.75, 1.83) 0.87 (0.54, 1.40) 1.08 (0.67, 1.74) 0.78 (0.47, 1.31)
Systolic BP (sd = 21 mmHg) 135 (23) 131 (15) 146 (24) 1.47 (1.02, 2.12) 1.87 (1.22, 2.89) 1.32 (0.78, 2.27) 2.13 (1.14, 4.01)
Diastolic BP (sd = 11 mmHg) 80 (11) 81 (10) 84 (13) 1.36 (0.89, 2.10) 1.33 (0.83, 2.11) 1.05 (0.57, 1.91) 0.82 (0.43, 1.58)
Meta-Analysis of Baseline Characteristics from the 3 Phases
Variable AKOA vs No KOA AKOA vs Typical KOA AKOA vs No KOA AKOA vs Typical KOA
OR (95% CI) OR (95% CI) aOR (95% CI) aOR (95% CI)
Age (sd = 5.8 years) 1.75 (1.35 to 2.26) 1.52 (1.16 to 2.01) 1.84 (1.40 to 2.43) 1.56 (1.16 to 2.11)
BMI (sd = 3.9 kg/m2) 1.47 (1.17 to 1.84) 1.11 (0.87 to 1.40) 1.52 (1.17 to 1.97) 1.13 (0.86 to 1.48)
Systolic BP (sd = 20 mmHg) 1.18 (0.93 to 1.50) 1.18 (0.91 to 1.53) 0.90 (0.63 to 1.28) 1.06 (0.72 to 1.57)
Diastolic BP (sd = 11 mmHg) 1.11 (0.87 to 1.43) 1.01 (0.77 to 1.33) 0.91 (0.63 to 1.31) 0.79 (0.53 to 1.16)

KOA knee osteoarthritis, m mean, sd standard deviation, OR odds ratio (per 1 standard deviation), 95% CI 95% confidence interval, aOR adjusted odds ratio (adjusted for other variables in table), BMI body mass index, BP blood pressure

All boldface entries are statistically significant (p < 0.05) with confidence intervals that don't include 1.00