Figure 2.

Fine-grained climate-analog velocities of three climate variables in Finland. (a–c) Growing degree days (GDD), (d–f) mean January temperature, (g–i) climatic water balance. The velocities are calculated as the minimum Euclidean distance between the closest climatically similar location in the current climate and in the three future climates (a,d,g – RCP2.6; b,e,h – RCP4.5; c,f,i – RCP8.5), divided by the time separating the two periods, 1981–2010 and 2070–2099. The velocities were measured for all 50 × 50 m grid cells occurring in mainland Finland by extending, where required, the search of climate analogues beyond country borders (see Supplementary Fig. 1S). Note that, despite this, (e,f) suggest disappearing climate conditions.