Table 2c.

Predicted Probability and Average Marginal Effects of Supportive and Punitive Policies on Alcohol Use, by Education

	Any Drinking					Binge Drinking					Heavy Drinking
	No policy	Policy	Average ME	95% CI		No policy	Policy	Average ME	95% CI		No policy	Policy	Average ME	95% CI
Supportive
MWS
Less than HS	0.078	0.085	0.007	−0.018–0.032		0.021	0.011	−0.009	−0.19-−0.000		0.020	0.013	−0.007	−0.020–0.005
HS Graduate	0.103	0.111	0.008	−0.019–0.035		0.028	0.015	−0.012	−0.026–0.002		0.023	0.018	−0.004	−0.021–0.012
More than HS	0.154	0.141	−0.012	−0.034–0.010		0.035	0.022	−0.013	−0.023-−0.003		0.032	0.024	−0.008	−0.019–0.003
RR_DTx
Less than HS	0.076	0.085	0.008	−0.014–0.031		0.015	0.016	0.001	−0.007–0.009		0.018	0.016	−0.002	−0.010–0.005
HS Graduate	0.104	0.108	0.004	−0.020–0.028		0.023	0.019	−0.003	−0.014–0.007		0.024	0.016	−0.009	−0.018-−0.000
More than HS	0.153	0.144	−0.008	−0.030–0.013		0.027	0.029	0.003	−0.008–0.013		0.028	0.028	0.000	−0.010–0.009
PTxP
Less than HS	0.082	0.077	−0.005	−0.033–0.023		0.016	0.014	−0.002	−0.012–0.007		0.016	0.018	0.002	−0.010–0.013
HS Graduate	0.107	0.101	−0.006	−0.031–0.018		0.022	0.019	−0.003	−0.012–0.005		0.020	0.023	0.002	−0.007–0.012
More than HS	0.150	0.142	−0.008	−0.035–0.019		0.030	0.023	−0.007	−0.021–0.008		0.029	0.025	−0.003	−0.018–0.009
PTxPWC
Less than HS	0.080	0.097	0.017	−0.010–0.044		0.016	0.014	−0.002	−0.010–0.007		0.018	0.009	−0.008	−0.018–0.001
HS Graduate	0.104	0.130	0.027	0.008–0.045		0.022	0.014	−0.007	−0.017–0.002		0.022	0.010	−0.012	−0.021-−0.004
More than HS	0.147	0.161	0.014	−0.003–0.031		0.029	0.023	−0.006	−0.017–0.006		0.029	0.022	−0.007	−0.018–0.003
PCP
Less than HS	0.082	0.055	−0.028	−0.059–0.003		0.015	0.015	0.000	−0.112–0.011		0.017	0.011	−0.006	−0.017–0.004
HS Graduate	0.108	0.072	−0.036	−0.056-−0.016		0.021	0.023	0.002	−0.012–0.016		0.021	0.022	0.002	−0.009–0.013
More than HS	0.150	0.127	−0.022	−0.051–0.007		0.028	0.029	0.000	−0.015–0.016		0.028	0.023	−0.005	−0.015–0.004
Punitive
CACN
Less than HS	0.084	0.073	−0.010	−0.037–0.017		0.017	0.012	−0.005	−0.012–0.002		0.020	0.010	−0.010	−0.018-−0.002
HS Graduate	0.104	0.113	0.009	−0.013–0.032		0.024	0.015	−0.009	−0.018-−0.001		0.023	0.013	−0.010	−0.016-−0.004
More than HS	0.147	0.152	0.004	−0.023–0.032		0.030	0.024	−0.007	−0.013–0.000		0.030	0.023	−0.008	−0.017–0.002
CC
Less than HS	0.082	0.060	−0.022	−0.049–0.006		0.015	0.026	0.011	−0.003–0.025		0.017	0.043	0.027	−0.000–0.054
HS Graduate	0.106	0.089	−0.018	−0.040–0.004		0.021	0.029	0.008	−0.016–0.031		0.020	0.037	0.016	−0.013–0.046
More than HS	0.149	0.121	−0.028	−0.058–0.003		0.028	0.042	0.014	−0.012–0.039		0.028	0.044	0.016	−0.021–0.053
RR_CPS
Less than HS	0.081	0.081	0.000	−0.024–0.023		0.013	0.022	0.009	0.000–0.018		0.014	0.023	0.008	−0.006–0.023
HS Graduate	0.108	0.102	−0.006	−0.024–0.012		0.019	0.025	0.006	−0.004–0.016		0.021	0.020	−0.001	−0.009–0.008
More than HS	0.150	0.144	−0.006	−0.028–0.016		0.028	0.030	0.002	−0.006–0.011		0.028	0.029	0.001	−0.009–0.011

Models display the predicted probability (predictive margins) of outcomes based on models testing the interaction of each policy and educational attainment in separate sample-weighted logistic regression in models that included fixed effects for state and for year and adjusted for individual- and state-level covariates, including all other pregnancy-specific alcohol policies.

ME = (average) marginal effect.

Bold indicates p<.05

MWS=Mandatory Warning Signs; RR_DTx=Reporting Requirements for Data and Treatment Purposes; PTxP=Priority Treatment for Pregnant Women Only; PTxPWC=Priority Treatment for Pregnant Women and Women with Children; PCP=Prohibitions on Criminal Prosecution; CACN=Child Abuse/Neglect; CC=Civil Commitment; RR_CPS=CPS Reporting Requirements