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. 2020 Jan 30;25(4):2000058. doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000058

Figure 1.

Values of R0 and k most compatible with the estimated size of the 2019 novel coronavirus epidemic in China, on 18 January 2020

The basic reproduction number R0 quantifies human-to-human transmission. The dispersion parameter k quantifies the risk of a superspreading event (lower values of k are linked to a higher probability of superspreading). Note that the probability density of k implies a log10 transformation.

Figure 1