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. 2016 Feb 2;12(1):150–158. doi: 10.1080/21645515.2015.1060380

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© 2015 The Author(s). Published with license by Taylor & Francis Group, LLC

This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/), which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. The moral rights of the named author(s) have been asserted.

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Figure 3. — Predictions of the number of CRS cases per 100,000 live births in Vietnam until the year 2050, for the 4 vaccination scenarios, introduced in 2013, obtained for the alternative assumption about contact (the rate at which older individuals come into effective contact with younger individuals is 30% of the rate at which older individuals come into effective contact with other older individuals). The black line shows the average predictions, based on 100 rejection samples; the gray areas show the 95% range of the predictions.