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. 2004 Oct 18;2004(4):CD002978. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD002978.pub2

Derman 1995.

Methods Study Design: parallel, double‐blind, multicentre, placebo‐control, randomised clinical trial 
 Randomisation: treatments assigned symmetrically in blocks of four according to a computer‐generated randomisation scheme 
 Number of Centres: 3 
 Duration of Trial: 16 weeks 
 Power Calculations: no 
 Number of women randomised: 82 to two treatment groups 
 Number of women analysed: varied according to outcome; 70 for hot flush frequency, and 78 for hot flush severity 
 Intention‐to‐treat analysis: yes 
 Losses to follow‐up: varied according to outcome; 12/82 (= 15% for hot flush frequency) and 4/82 (= 5%) for hot flush severity 
 Withdrawals from treatment: 35/82 (= 43%) did not complete treatment. Breakdown: adverse effects (6), lack of effect (18), unspecified (11). Withdrawal rate was significantly higher in placebo group. 
 Compliance: assessed by unused pill counts but degree of compliance not stated 
 Source of Funding: Novo Nordisk Pharmaceuticals
Participants Menopausal status: peri‐ and post‐menopausal (all natural) 
 Age: 50 years (mean) 
 Location: USA Ethnicity: not stated 
 Source: not stated 
 Inclusion Criteria: age 40 to 60 years, menopause symptoms with at least 20 vasomotor events/week (and a minimum of five moderate‐severe), serum FSH > 40 IU/ml 
 Exclusion Criteria: estrogen therapy within the last month, steroid therapy within the past 3 months, a history of major diseases that would contraindicate oestrogen therapy, long term treatments that would interfere with outcomes 
 Confirmation of Ovarian Failure: serum FSH > 40 IU/ml (inclusion criteria) 
 Baseline Equality: equality for vasomotor symptoms, general climacteric symptoms and Beck Depression Index reported 
 Baseline Symptoms: all participants had vasomotor symptoms (>20/week) at baseline (inclusion criteria)
Interventions Rx1 (E+P, cyclic ): 2mg 17 beta oestradiol days 1 to 12, 2 mg 17 beta oestradiol + 1mg norethisterone acetate days 13 to 22, 1mg 17 beta oestradiol days 23/28 (triphasic sequential therapy) 
 Rx2: placebo 
 HRT and placebo preparations were identical 
 Co‐interventions: none reported
Outcomes 1. Hot flush frequency 
 2. Hot flush severity (vasomotor component of Greene's Climacteric Scale, 0‐12 scale) 
 3. Losses to follow‐up
Notes Attempts were made to contact the author but were unsuccessful.
Risk of bias
Bias Authors' judgement Support for judgement
Allocation concealment? Low risk A ‐ Adequate