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. 2020 Feb 7;20:24. doi: 10.1186/s12874-020-0906-6

Table 5.

Most important predictors in the CDP model

Ranka Predictor Signb MAD
1 Intercept 0.721
2 Index = TERI: Second-line = TRUE 0.977
3 Index = NA: Second-line = TRUE 0.837
4 Index = NA: Diagnosis distance + 0.518
5 Index = FTY: Second-line = TRUE 0.487
6 Current = IF: Current duration 1.604
7 Current = NA: Current duration 2.124
8 Current + 0.711

MAD median absolute deviation, TERI Teriflunomide, FTY Fingolimod, NA Natalizumab, IF Interferon-ß1, Second-line DMT to be employed by label of the European Medical Agency if previous DMT failed to achieve sufficient control of disease activity.

a Ranked according to the magnitude of the median of the corresponding coefficient’s posterior distribution

b A positive sign is associated with a boosting effect on the likelihood of observing a CDP; a negative sign is associated with a lessening effect on the likelihood of observing a CDP