Table 7.

Performance of models trained on the full data set and evaluated on the test set

Measure	Value	Sample sizea	Response	Model
C-Index	0.554	3354	CDP	predictive
C-Index	0.608	5606	relapse	predictive
Average NLL	0.423	314	CDP	predictive
Average NLL	0.821	314	relapse	predictive
MSE	0.131	314	CDP	predictive
MSE	0.784	314	relapse	predictive

CDP confirmed disability progression, C-Index Harrell’s concordance statistic, MSE mean squared error, NLL negative log-likelihood.

^a Refers either to the number of observations (MSE, average NLL) or the number of matched pairs (C-Index)