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. 2019 Oct 10;3(10):308–327. doi: 10.1029/2019GH000209

Figure 7.

Figure 7

We estimated an upper bound of future Valley fever incidence using a 90th percentile regression model for (a) our 2007 baseline period, (b) 2035, (c) 2065, and (d) 2095 for representative concentration pathway (RCP) 8.5. Over time, our model predicts Valley fever incidence will increase throughout the extreme southwestern US and the southern Great Plains. Incidence will also increase throughout the Central Valley of California and in the northwestern United States.