Table 1.
Compounding Effects of Climate Change and Increasing Human Population on the Number of People in Millions Living in the Endemic Region for Valley Fever in the Years 2035, 2065, and 2095, Relative to our 2007 Baseline Population Estimate of 47.5 M
| RCP4.5 Climate | RCP8.5 Climate | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2035 | 2065 | 2095 | 2035 | 2065 | 2095 | |
| No change in population (M) | 49.9 | 52.1 | 52.7 | 50.1 | 55.0 | 55.5 |
| SSP2 population scenario (M) | 65.7 | 68.6 | 69.7 | 66.0 | 72.6 | 73.2 |
| SSP5 population scenario (M) | 71.9 | 75.0 | 76.2 | 72.2 | 79.4 | 80.1 |
Abbreviations: RCP, representative concentration pathway; SSP, shared socioeconomic pathways.