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. 2020 Jan 21;117(5):2354–2365. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1900577117

Table 3.

Synthesis of the research results on the key candidates for social tipping elements selected by the experts and their associated social tipping interventions

Social tipping element Social tipping intervention Control parameter Key actors GHG emission reduction potential Dominant social structure level Estimated time needed to trigger tipping
STE1: Energy production and storage STI1.1: Subsidy programs The relative price of fossil-fuel–free energy Governments, energy ministries, big energy producers (68) Up to 21% globally in 1 y (68) National policy (68) 10 to 20 y (including the policy-formative phase) (161)
STI1.2: Decentralized energy production Citizens, communities (73), local governments (162), policy makers (163), energy planners (164) Up to 100% in power supply (61) Community/town governance (165) Less than 10 y (81)
STE2: Human settlements STI2.2: Carbon-neutral cities The demand for fossil-fuel–free technology City administration, citizens, and citizen groups (166) Reduction by 32% in 14 y (91) Urban governance (91) Approximately 10 y (91).
STE3: Financial market STI3.1: Divestment movement Profitability of fossil fuel exploitation Financial investors (96) 26% emissions tied to investments of a large Canadian university (167) Market exchange, enterprise (98) Very rapid, could occur within hours (142)
STE4: Norms and values system STI4.1: Recognition of the immoral character of fossil fuels The perception of fossil fuels as immoral Peer groups, environmental organizations, youth, opinion leaders (168170) Unprecedented Informal institutions, enforcement through peer groups (171) 30 to 40 y (172)
STE5: Education system STI5.1: Climate education and engagement Climate change and impacts awareness Teachers, climate educators (117), youth (113) Up to 30% reduction in 2 y in the emissions of the Italian households included in the study (124) National policy (173) 10 to 20 y (173)
STE6: Information feedback STI6.1: Emission information disclosure The number of products and services disclosing their carbon emissions The business and producers; governments for setting disclosure guidelines and regulations (174) Up to 10% reduction of emissions in UK households' grocery consumption in a year (175) Market, exchange (176); enterprise (177) A few years (178)