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. 2018 Jul 26;16(7):e05359. doi: 10.2903/j.efsa.2018.5359

Table 3.

Evaluation of emerging risks

Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities Threats
Evaluation

The scope of the ERI is set by legislation

A definition and criteria for emerging risk identification were agreed and a procedure is in place supported by networks of experts

Up‐front contextual frame for strategy planning and/or means of challenging assumptions and prevailing opinions

ERI procedure is oriented at identifying and responding to short‐term risks.

Medium‐ and long‐term risks are not characterised

Absence of a system to track issues over a long time period to assess their development into risks

Lack of a communication strategy: considering timeliness and relevance of message, traction with priorities/policies, and risk perceptions

A clear view on EFSA's role in follow‐up actions

Include characterisation of medium‐ and long‐term issues to define emerging risks, reflecting current knowledge and recommendations for follow‐up actions

Define EFSA's role on emerging risk governance to include emerging issue characterisation, prioritisation and long‐term monitoring (i.e. knowledge management)

Develop a communication strategy that addresses data gaps, knowledge uncertainty, and risk perception issues

Develop a prioritisation or ranking approach involving different stakeholder

ERI focus limited to detection of food safety incidents/crisis

Evaluation affected by perceived relevance and uncertainty

ERI not recognised as a way to examine the resilience food systems

Limited visibility of output in terms of avoided risks