Figure 5.
Modelled HPAI clade 2.3.4.4 worst‐case prevalence (95th percentile) in wild water birds (piWB) after entry of infected wild water birds at day 1 of the migration season. Different population sizes (10–100,000) and scenarios 1–4 are presented. Scenario 1: 90% water birds, 90% migratory birds; scenario 2: 10% water birds, 90% migratory birds; scenario 3: 90% water birds, 10% migratory birds; scenario 4: 10% water birds, 10% migratory birds