Probability judgements (%) First round judgements in black, second round in red text in brackets, if modified
	Q3a	Q3b	Q3c	Q3d
1	100 (99)	100 (99)	90	90
2	90	90	90	50 (90)
3	100 (99)	99	75 (85)	99
4	98	98	95	98
5	95	95	95 (98)	95
6	100	80 (95)	80 (95)	80 (95)
7	95	60 (95)	95	95
8	100	100	80 (90)	80–100 (90)
9	100	99 (100)	99	95–99 (99)
10	100	50	100	90
11	99	99	95	99
12	95	95	95	50 (95)
13	100	100	100	100
14	100	100	100	100