Probability judgements (%) First round judgements in black, second round in red (in brackets) if modified
	Q4a	Q4b	Q4c	Q4d
1	25	30	20 (5)	30 (40)
2	90	90	80	70
3	15–30 (10)	15–30 (10)	15–30 (5)	15–30
4	10	10	10	10
5	5 (20)	5 (20)	5 (20)	5 (20)
6	50	50	0	100
7	80 (60)	80 (60)	80 (60)	80 (60)
8	10	10	10	10
9	0–15	0–15	0–15	0–15
10	60–70	20–30 (50)	50	50
11	5–10	15	15	5–10
12	10	10	10	10
13	10	20	10	30
14	10	10	10	10