Table 2.
General clusters | On-premise cluster | LBD-7 cluster | Off-premise cluster | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OR | Q-valuea | 95% CI | OR | Q-value | 95% CI | OR | Q-value | 95% CI | OR | Q-value | 95% CI | |
Racial/ethnic composition | ||||||||||||
Percent white | 1.02 | < 0.001 | 1.01, 1.03 | 1.04 | < 0.001 | 1.03, 1.05 | 1.02 | < 0.001 | 1.02, 1.03 | 0.98 | < 0.001 | 0.97, 0.99 |
Percent Black | 0.98 | < 0.001 | 0.98, 0.99 | 0.96 | < 0.001 | 0.95, 0.97 | 0.98 | < 0.001 | 0.98, 0.99 | 1.02 | < 0.001 | 1.01, 1.03 |
Percent Hispanic | 1.05 | < 0.001 | 1.03, 1.07 | 1.04 | < 0.001 | 1.01, 1.06 | 1.07 | < 0.001 | 1.05, 1.10 | 0.91 | < 0.01 | 0.85, 0.97 |
Index of concentration for raceb | 2.47 | < 0.001 | 1.89, 3.22 | 7.97 | < 0.001 | 4.87, 13.05 | 2.50 | < 0.01 | 1.93, 3.25 | 0.45 | < 0.001 | 0.29, 0.68 |
Advantage | ||||||||||||
Concentrated disadvantage indexc | ||||||||||||
Quartile 1—Most advantaged | (ref) | (ref) | (ref) | |||||||||
Quartile 2—Slightly advantaged | 0.29 | < 0.001 | 0.16, 0.52 | 0.14 | < 0.001 | 0.06, 0.31 | 0.29 | < 0.001 | 0.16, 0.50 | 0.91 | 0.85 | 0.36, 2.31 |
Quartile 3—Slightly disadvantaged | 0.14 | < 0.001 | 0.07, 0.28 | 0.03 | < 0.001 | 0.01, 0.14 | 0.12 | < 0.001 | 0.06, 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.99 | 0.40, 2.49 |
Quartile 4—Most disadvantaged | 0.22 | < 0.001 | 0.12, 0.42 | –e | 0.24 | < 0.001 | 0.13, 0.43 | 4.25 | < 0.001 | 2.00, 9.02 | ||
Discriminatory policies | ||||||||||||
HOLC grade | ||||||||||||
None | (ref) | (ref) | (ref) | (ref) | ||||||||
B | —e | —e | —e | 0.68 | 0.55 | 0.21, 2.20 | ||||||
C—decline | 1.74 | 0.08 | 0.96, 3.15 | 0.51 | 0.18 | 0.20, 1.31 | 1.87 | 0.03 | 1.06, 3.30 | 5.54 | < 0.001 | 2.37, 12.93 |
D—full decline | 9.37 | < 0.001 | 5.25, 16.72 | 5.08 | < 0.001 | 2.57, 10.03 | 9.62 | < 0.001 | 5.45, 16.97 | 10.18 | < 0.001 | 4.37, 23.70 |
Social control/disinvestment | ||||||||||||
Drug arrest density | 1.08 | < 0.001 | 1.06, 1.11 | 0.97 | 0.24 | 0.93, 1.02 | 1.08 | < 0.001 | 1.06, 1.11 | 1.05 | < 0.001 | 1.02, 1.08 |
Vacant housing density | 1.01 | 0.02 | 1.00, 1.02 | 0.96 | 0.01 | 0.93, 0.99 | 1.01 | 0.04 | 1.00, 1.02 | 1.04 | < 0.001 | 1.02, 1.05 |
Population density | 1.06 | < 0.001 | 1.04, 1.09 | 1.03 | < 0.01 | 1.01, 1.05 | 1.06 | < 0.001 | 1.04, 1.09 | 1.02 | 0.14 | 0.99, 1.04 |
Residential stability | ||||||||||||
Percent single households | 1.01 | 0.11 | 0.99, 1.02 | 1.02 | < 0.001 | 1.01, 1.04 | 1.01 | 0.05f | 1.00, 1.02 | 1.02 | < 0.01 | 1.01, 1.03 |
Percent residential mobility | 1.06 | < 0.001 | 1.04, 1.08 | 1.05 | < 0.001 | 1.02, 1.07 | 1.05 | < 0.001 | 1.04, 1.07 | 1.02 | 0.07 | 0.99, 1.04 |
Percent renter-occupied housing | 1.02 | < 0.001 | 1.01, 1.03 | 1.01 | 0.10 | 0.99, 1.02 | 1.02 | < 0.001 | 1.01, 1.03 | 1.03 | < 0.001 | 1.02, 1.04 |
Built environment | ||||||||||||
Retail land used | 1.03 | < 0.001 | 1.02, 1.04 | 1.03 | < 0.001 | 1.03, 1.05 | 1.03 | < 0.001 | 1.02, 1.04 | 1.02 | < 0.001 | 1.01, 1.03 |
Convenience stores | 1.27 | < 0.001 | 1.16, 1.40 | 1.22 | < 0.001 | 1.10, 1.36 | 1.32 | < 0.001 | 1.20, 1.45 | 1.23 | < 0.001 | 1.11, 1.35 |
Schools | 0.89 | 0.53 | 0.64, 1.23 | 0.90 | 0.68 | 0.57, 1.42 | 0.96 | 0.82 | 0.71, 1.30 | 1.59 | < 0.01 | 1.17, 2.08 |
Italics indicate that q < 0.05
OR odds ratio, CI confidence interval, HOLC Home Owner’s Loan Corporation, ref reference group
aAdjusted probability score using a Benjamini-Hochberg-Simes false discovery rate correction
bCalculated as ICEi = (Wi − Bi)/Ti where Wi = number of white residents in CBG, Bi = number of Black residents in CBG, and Ti = total number of residents in CBG. Thus, CBGs with 100% white residents would have an ICE of 1.0, CBGs with 100% Black residents would have an ICE of − 1.0, and CBGs with 50% white and 50% Black residents would have an ICE of 0.0
cCalculated as 0.75*Bi − 0.80*(Ii/250000) − 0.93*Ci − 0.87*(Hi/910700) where Bi = percent of CBGi that is Black, Ii = median annual household income for CBGi, Ci = percent of CBGi aged 25 years or older with a college degree, and Hi = median home value for CBGi
dCalculated as Ri/Ti, where Ri = the proportion of the CBG that is zoned for retail land use and Ti is the proportion of Baltimore City that is zoned for retail land use
eNo observations in this cell
fQ-value = 0.048