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. 2019 Dec 12;47(3):143–150. doi: 10.1097/OLQ.0000000000001108

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Copyright © 2019 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. on behalf of the American Sexually Transmitted Diseases Association.

This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives License 4.0 (CCBY-NC-ND), where it is permissible to download and share the work provided it is properly cited. The work cannot be changed in any way or used commercially without permission from the journal.

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Cumulative infections averted and additional tests relative to the calibrated model (%) for population in Baltimore and in San Francisco for the 5-year period. For the LTFU scenarios, infections are averted through better follow-up of diagnosed patients, by adjusting the treatment rate of the base case model. Footnote: Remove 10% LTFU: assume 10% LTFU for all asymptomatic, which is removed in the counterfactual; Remove 20% LTFU: assume 20% LTFU for all asymptomatic, which is removed in the counterfactual; Remove 10% LTFU (20% MSW) assume 10% LTFU for all MSM and women, and 20% for MSW, which is removed in the counterfactual. Scatter plots present a sample of 250 model simulations to display the underlying distribution. Boxplots represent summary statistics for all 1000 simulations.