Table 3. Estimated numbers aged 50+, living and dying with a disease associated with palliative care need, in Ireland to 2046.

		2016	2026	2036	2046
Total population aged 50+ in Ireland	N y= Rate of change index=	1,428,313 -	1,818,264 127	2,181,617 153	2,292,217 160
Living with a disease associated with palliative care need	n y= p(N y)= Rate of change index=	290,185 20% -	383,675 21% 132	482,548 22% 166	548,105 24% 189
Living without a disease associated with palliative care need	n y= p(N y)= Rate of change index=	1,111,200 78% -	1,403,530 77% 126	1,661,105 76% 149	1,698,751 74% 153
Dying with a disease associated with palliative care need	n y= p(N y)= Rate of change index=	24,257 2% -	28,145 2% 116	34,859 2% 144	42,193 2% 174
Dying without a disease associated with palliative care need	n y= p(N y)= Rate of change index=	2,672 <0.5% -	2,914 <0.5% 109	3,105 <0.5% 116	3,168 <0.5% 119

For full details of palliative care need, see Methods>Exposure variables. ‘Living with(out)’ = live the entirety of a given year; ‘Dying with(out)’ = die within a given year; N _y=total population aged 50+ in Ireland in a given year (y); n _y=number for a given sub-group in a given year; p( N _y) = sub-group as a proportion of 50+ population, i.e. ( n _y/ N _y)*100; Rate of change index=(n _y/[n ₂₀₁₆])*100