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. 2020 Jan 30;9(2):96–105. doi: 10.1002/psp4.12487

Table 2.

Proportion of muscle spasms at week 12 and week 20 after 12‐week treatment based on clinical trial simulations

Data frequency Model Any grade, median (95% CI) Grade: 2/3, median (95% CI)
Estimation Simulation Week 12 Week 20 Week 12 Week 20
Weekly Weekly PO 0.64 (0.52–0.76) 0.09 (0.05–0.18) 0.29 (0.19–0.39) 0.01 (0.00–0.02)
DTMM 0.69 (0.59–0.80) 0.14 (0.07–0.21) 0.20 (0.10–0.31) 0.01 (0.00–0.04)
CTMM 0.73 (0.62–0.82) 0.10 (0.04–0.17) 0.20 (0.12–0.29) 0.00 (0.00–0.01)
Weekly Daily PO 0.63 (0.51–0.76) 0.09 (0.04–0.17) 0.29 (0.18–0.39) 0.01 (0.00–0.02)
DTMM 0.86 (0.75–0.95) 0.02 (0.00–0.05) 0.32 (0.14–0.51) 0.00 (0.00–0.01)
CTMM 0.73 (0.62–0.81) 0.10 (0.04–0.16) 0.20 (0.13–0.28) 0.00 (0.00–0.02)

CI, confidence interval; CTMM, continuous‐time Markov model; DTMM, discrete‐time Markov model; PO, proportional odds model.