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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Feb 17.
Published in final edited form as: Pacing Clin Electrophysiol. 2019 Apr 9;42(6):694–704. doi: 10.1111/pace.13669

TABLE 3.

Predictors of recurrence of atrial fibrillation

Odds ratio P-value 95% Confidence interval
Male 0.97 .88 0.65 to 1.45
Age 1.00 .98 0.98 to 1.01
Age > 65 years 1.04 .84 0.71 to 1.54
PeAF 1.16 .45 0.79 to 1.70
Months of AF 1.00 .11 1.00 to 1.01
AF > 6 months 1.34 .32 0.75 to 2.39
AF > 12 month 1.48 .10 0.93 to 2.40
Prior AF ablation 1.01 .75 0.71 to 1.06
ERAF 3.57 .00 2.34 to 5.46
Coronary artery disease 1.11 .67 0.67 to 1.86
Diabetes mellitus 0.98 .95 0.54 to 1.80
Hypertension 0.99 .97 0.68 to 1.45
BMI 1.01 .43 0.98 to 1.04
BMI > 28 kg/m2 1.45 .06 0.99 to 2.14
Metabolic syndrome 0.60 .04 0.37 to 0.97
eGFR 1.00 .58 0.99 to 1.01
GFR < 60 mL/min 1.30 .38 0.73 to 2.23
GFR < 68 mL/min 1.16 .50 0.75 to 1.80
Serum creatinine 1.16 .73 0.50 to 2.74
Obstructive sleep apnea 1.34 .25 0.81 to 2.21
Prior stroke/TIA 1.87 .08 0.93 to 3.80
Current EtoH drinker 1.03 .85 0.71 to 1.52
Current smoker 0.91 .82 0.43 to 1.93
Structural heart disease 1.29 .44 0.67 to 2.46
NYHA 3 or 4 2.28 .16 0.69 to 7.60
LVEF 1.00 .40 0.97 to 1.01
LVEF < 50% 1.42 .20 0.83 to 2.45
Left atrial diameter 1.01 .27 0.99 to 1.05
Left atrial diameter index (mm/m2) 1.01 .56 0.96 to 1.07
LAD > 40 mm 1.69 .01 1.14 to 2.50
QRS duration 1.00 .20 0.98 to 1.04
QRS > 120 ms 0.86 .69 0.41 to 1.80
PR duration 1.01 .04 1.00 to 1.01
PR > 200 ms 1.74 .09 0.91 to 3.32
RBBB 0.31 .10 0.07 to 1.34
LBBB 0.71 .54 0.23 to 2.16
Number of failed AAD 1.01 .91 0.79 to 1.30
Failed AAD (y/n) 1.59 .11 0.90 to 2.81
Variant PVA 0.55 .28 0.19 to 1.64
Number of freezes 1.03 .44 0.96 to 1.10
Electrical cardioversion 1.34 .16 0.89 to 2.00
Chemical cardioversion 1.96 .25 0.61 to 6.26
Adenosine given 0.89 .65 0.53 to 1.49
Isoproterenol given 1.14 .61 0.49 to 2.67
APPLE 1.12 .23 0.93 to 1.40
ALARMEc 0.94 .55 0.78 to 1.16
BASEAF2 score 1.49 .00 1.25 to 1.76
BASEAF2 ≥ 3 3.00 .00 1.97 to 4.57
MB-LATER 1.20 .02 1.03 to 1.39
MB-LATER≥ 2 1.51 .04 1.01 to 2.27
CHA2DS2VASC 1.14 .07 0.99 to 1.32
EHRA score 1.13 .36 0.87 to 1.47

Abbreviations: AAD = anti-arrhythmic drugs; AF = atrial fibrillation; BMI = body mass index; EHRA = European Heart Rhythm Association; eGFR = estimated glomerular filtration rate; ERAF = early recurrence of atrial fibrillation; EtOH = ethanol; LAD = left atrial diameter; LBBB = left bundle branch block; LVEF = left ventricular ejection fraction; NYHA = New York Heart Association Functional Class;PeAF = persistent atrial fibrillation; PVA = pulmonary vein anatomy; RBBB = right bundle branch block; TIA = transient ischemic attack.