Table 3.
Estimates of performance for SpineCloud predicting physical function at 3 and 12 months after lumbar spine surgery—mJOA scale.
Model | Prediction time point | Accuracy | Sensitivity | Specificity | PPV | NPV | AUC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 months | 0.49 (0.38 to 0.61) | 0.31 (0.17 to 0.49) | 0.62 (0.47 to 0.75) | 0.36 (0.20 to 0.55) | 0.57 (0.42 to 0.70) | 0.49 (0.36 to 0.63) | |
3 months | 0.63 (0.52 to 0.74) | 0.38 (0.23 to 0.56) | 0.81 (0.67 to 0.90) | 0.58 (0.36 to 0.77) | 0.65 (0.52 to 0.77) | 0.54 (0.40 to 0.69) | |
3 months | 0.66 (0.55 to 0.76) | 0.31 (0.17 to 0.49) | 0.90 (0.78 to 0.96) | 0.69 (0.42 to 0.87) | 0.66 (0.53 to 0.76) | 0.71 (0.59 to 0.82) | |
12 months | 0.37 (0.26 to 0.49) | 0.21 (0.10 to 0.40) | 0.50 (0.34 to 0.66) | 0.27 (0.13 to 0.48) | 0.42 (0.28 to 0.58) | 0.32 (0.19 to 0.46) | |
12 months | 0.60 (0.47 to 0.71) | 0.32 (0.18 to 0.51) | 0.84 (0.68 to 0.93) | 0.64 (0.39 to 0.84) | 0.59 (0.44 to 0.72) | 0.47 (0.30 to 0.62) | |
12 months | 0.65 (0.52 to 0.76) | 0.50 (0.33 to 0.67) | 0.78 (0.61 to 0.89) | 0.67 (0.45 to 0.83) | 0.64 (0.48 to 0.77) | 0.69 (0.54 to 0.82) |