Testing strategy (age range for testing; colonoscopic surveillance interval) | Cases of cancer | Cancer deaths | Colonoscopies | Cancer deaths averted | Colonoscopies to avert one death |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stage 1 analysis | |||||
1. No testing | 1566 | 630 | — | — | — |
7. MSI + MLH1 methylation (no age limit; 1 year) | 1248 | 446 | 30 597 | 184 | 166 |
6. MSI + BRAF V600E (no age limit; 1 year) | 1246 | 445 | 30 697 | 185 | 166 |
5. MSI (no age limit; 1 year) | 1243 | 442 | 30 865 | 187 | 165 |
4. IHC + MLH1 methylation (no age limit; 1 year) | 1243 | 442 | 30 952 | 188 | 165 |
3. IHC + BRAF V600E (no age limit; 1 year) | 1242 | 441 | 30 995 | 189 | 164 |
2. IHC (no age limit; 1 year) | 1241 | 440 | 31 084 | 189 | 164 |
8. Universal gene panel testing (no age limit; 1 year) | 1239 | 438 | 31 257 | 192 | 163 |
Stage 2 analysis | |||||
1. No testing | 1566 | 630 | — | — | — |
3.3. IHC + BRAF V600E (< 50 years; 2 years) | 1500 | 583 | 4778 | 46 | 103 |
3.2. IHC + BRAF V600E (< 50 years; 1 year) | 1491 | 582 | 9457 | 48 | 198 |
8.3. Universal gene panel testing (< 50 years; 2 years) | 1500 | 583 | 4837 | 47 | 103 |
8.2. Universal gene panel testing (< 50 years; 1 year) | 1491 | 581 | 9571 | 49 | 196 |
3.5. IHC + BRAF V600E (< 60 years; 2 years) | 1398 | 518 | 10 642 | 112 | 95 |
8.5. Universal gene panel testing (< 60 years; 2 years) | 1396 | 516 | 10 756 | 114 | 94 |
3.4. IHC + BRAF V600E (< 60 years; 1 year) | 1375 | 513 | 20 976 | 117 | 180 |
8.4. Universal gene panel testing (< 60 years; 1 year) | 1374 | 511 | 21 197 | 119 | 179 |
3.7. IHC + BRAF V600E (< 70 years; 2 years) | 1319 | 471 | 14 251 | 159 | 90 |
8.7. Universal gene panel testing (< 70 years; 2 years) | 1317 | 468 | 14 383 | 161 | 89 |
3.6. IHC + BRAF V600E (< 70 years; 1 year) | 1287 | 464 | 27 970 | 165 | 169 |
8.6. Universal gene panel testing (< 70 years; 1 year) | 1284 | 462 | 28 226 | 168 | 168 |
3.1. IHC + BRAF V600E (no age limit; 2 years) | 1279 | 449 | 15 860 | 181 | 88 |
8.1. Universal gene panel testing (no age limit; 2 years) | 1275 | 446 | 15 999 | 184 | 87 |
3. IHC + BRAF V600E (no age limit; 1 year) | 1242 | 441 | 30 995 | 189 | 164 |
8. Universal gene panel testing (no age limit; 1 year) | 1239 | 438 | 31 257 | 192 | 163 |
IHC = immunohistochemistry; MSI = microsatellite instability.