Table 1.

Parameter values.

Parameter	Definitions	Estimated mean value	Standard deviation	Data source
$c_0$	Contact rate at the initial time	$14.781$	$0.904$	1
$c_b$	Minimum contact rate under the current control strategies	$2.9253$	$0.5235$	MCMC
$r_1$	Exponential decreasing rate of contact rate	$1.3768$	$0.283$	MCMC
$\beta$	Probability of transmission per contact	$2.1011\times {10}^{-8}$	$1.1886\times {10}^{-9}$	1
$q$	Quarantined rate of exposed individuals	$1.2858\times {10}^{-5}$	$3.1488\times {10}^{-6}$	MCMC
$\sigma$	Transition rate of exposed individuals to the infected class	$1/7$	–	2
$\lambda$	Rate at which the quarantined uninfected contacts were released into the wider community	$1/14$	–	3,4
$\varrho$	Probability of having symptoms among infected individuals	$0.86834$	$0.049227$	1
${\delta }_{I0}$	Initial transition rate of symptomatic infected individuals to the quarantined infected class	$0.13266$	$0.021315$	1
$1/{\delta }_{If}$	The shortest period of diagnosis	$0.3654$	$0.1431$	MCMC
$r_2$	Exponential decreasing rate of diagnose rate	$0.3283$	$0.0225$	MCMC
${\delta }_q$	Transition rate of quarantined exposed individuals to the quarantined infected class	$0.1259$	$0.052032$	1
${\gamma }_I$	Recovery rate of symptomatic infected individuals	$0.33029$	$0.052135$	1
${\gamma }_A$	Recovery rate of asymptomatic infected individuals	$0.13978$	$0.034821$	1
${\gamma }_H$	Recovery rate of quarantined infected individuals	$0.11624$	$0.038725$	1
$\alpha$	Disease-induced death rate	$1.7826\times {10}^{-5}$	$6.8331\times {10}^{-6}$	1