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. 2019 Nov;6(11):935–950. doi: 10.1016/S2215-0366(19)30331-1

Table 3.

Negative binomial regression of patients receiving prescriptions for antidepressants, opioids, gabapentinoids, benzodiazepines, or Z-drugs in 2017–18, adjusted by sex, age, and deprivation category, for the national registered adult population (N=46 324 965)

Unadjusted IRR Adjusted IRR E-value*
Antidepressants
Sex
Male 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref) ..
Female 1·89 (1·87–1·90) 1·89 (1·88–1·91) 3·19 (3·16)
Age, years
18–24 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref) ..
25–44 1·27 (1·24–1·30) 1·29 (1·25–1·32) 1·89 (1·81)
45–64 1·82 (1·76–1·89) 1·85 (1·79–1·92) 3·11 (2·98)
65–74 1·77 (1·70–1·83) 1·81 (1·74–1·88) 3·02 (2·88)
≥75 2·07 (2·00–2·14) 2·07 (2·00–2·14) 3·56 (3·42)
IMD quintile
1 (least deprived) 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref) ..
2 1·08 (1·05–1·12) 1·10 (1·06–1·13) 1·42 (1·32)
3 1·08 (1·03–1·14) 1·12 (1·06–1·17) 1·48 (1·32)
4 1·11 (1·03–1·19) 1·16 (1·09–1·24) 1·59 (1·40)
5 (most deprived) 1·15 (1·08–1·24) 1·24 (1·16–1·33) 1·78 (1·58)
Model constant .. 0·06 (0·06–0·06) ..
Opioids
Sex
Male 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref) ..
Female 1·55 (1·54–1·56) 1·61 (1·60–1·63) 2·61 (2·58)
Age, years
18–24 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref) ..
25–44 2·16 (2·09–2·23) 2·21 (2·13–2·29) 3·84 (3·68)
45–64 4·31 (4·10–4·53) 4·59 (4·36–4·83) 8·65 (8·20)
65–74 6·18 (5·87–6·50) 6·77 (6·41–7·15) 13·01 (12·29)
≥75 8·18 (7·81–8·56) 8·79 (8·38–9·22) 17·07 (16·25)
IMD quintile
1 (least deprived) 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref) ..
2 1·16 (1·12–1·21) 1·20 (1·15–1·24) 1·68 (1·57)
3 1·25 (1·18–1·32) 1·34 (1·27–1·40) 2·01 (1·86)
4 1·36 (1·28–1·45) 1·52 (1·44–1·61) 2·41 (2·23)
5 (most deprived) 1·56 (1·48–1·66) 1·85 (1·76–1·95) 3·11 (2·91)
Model constant .. 0·02 (0·02–0·02) ..
Gabapentinoids
Sex
Male 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref) ..
Female 1·59 (1·57–1·60) 1·66 (1·64–1·68) 2·70 (2·67)
Age, years
18–24 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref) ..
25–44 3·52 (3·34–3·71) 3·51 (3·32–3·71) 6·47 (6·09)
45–64 8·50 (7·93–9·11) 8·67 (8·06–9·33) 16·83 (15·60)
65–74 10·25 (9·54–11·01) 10·98 (10·18–11·84) 21·45 (19·86)
≥75 12·25 (11·45–13·11) 13·04 (12·16–13·97) 25·56 (23·82)
IMD quintile
1 (least deprived) 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref) ..
2 1·18 (1·13–1·23) 1·21 (1·17–1·27) 1·73 (1·60)
3 1·31 (1·23–1·39) 1·39 (1·31–1·48) 2·13 (1·95)
4 1·42 (1·32–1·54) 1·56 (1·44–1·68) 2·48 (2·24)
5 (most deprived) 1·62 (1·48–1·76) 1·85 (1·69–2·01) 3·09 (2·78)
Model constant .. 0·00 (0·00–0·00) ..
Benzodiazepines
Sex
Male 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref) ..
Female 1·76 (1·74–1·77) 1·71 (1·70–1·73) 2·82 (2·79)
Age, years
18–24 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref) ..
25–44 2·29 (2·21–2·37) 2·32 (2·25–2·41) 4·08 (3·92)
45–64 3·21 (3·07–3·37) 3·27 (3·11–3·43) 5·99 (5·68)
65–74 3·90 (3·68–4·12) 3·89 (3·67–4·11) 7·24 (6·81)
≥75 5·65 (5·35–5·96) 5·44 (5·16–5·73) 10·35 (9·79)
IMD quintile
1 (least deprived) 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref) ..
2 1·00 (0·97–1·04) 1·03 (0·99–1·06) 1·19 (1·00)
3 0·93 (0·88–0·98) 0·97 (0·93–1·02) 1·19 (1·00)
4 0·85 (0·79–0·91) 0·90 (0·85–0·96) 1·46 (1·26)
5 (most deprived) 0·82 (0·75–0·89) 0·89 (0·82–0·97) 1·50 (1·23)
Model constant .. 0·01 (0·01–0·01) ..
Z-drugs
Sex
Male 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref) ..
Female 1·60 (1·58–1·61) 1·57 (1·55–1·59) 2·51 (2·47)
Age, years
18–24 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref) ..
25–44 1·84 (1·78–1·90) 1·84 (1·78–1·91) 3·09 (2·96)
45–64 2·97 (2·84–3·11) 2·98 (2·84–3·13) 5·41 (5·12)
65–74 3·68 (3·49–3·87) 3·70 (3·51–3·89) 6·85 (6·47)
≥75 5·40 (5·12–5·69) 5·35 (5·08–5·64) 10·18 (9·63)
IMD quintile
1 (least deprived) 1·00 (ref) 1·00 (ref) ..
2 0·97 (0·93–1·01) 1·02 (0·98–1·07) 1·18 (1·00)
3 0·94 (0·88–1·00) 1·03 (0·97–1·09) 1·21 (1·00)
4 0·87 (0·80–0·93) 0·99 (0·92–1·06) 1·13 (1·00)
5 (most deprived) 0·93 (0·85–1·02) 1·11 (1·01–1·22) 1·45 (1·11)
Model constant .. 0·01 (0·01–0·01) ..

IRR=incident rate ratio.

*

Values in parentheses are the lower bound of the 95% CI (towards the null).