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. 2020 Jan 15;9(2):e014402. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.119.014402

Table 2.

Cox Regression Models of MACE at 1‐ and 4 Years of Follow‐Up

Variables 1‐Year of Follow‐Up 4 Years of Follow‐Up
Model #1 HR (95% CI) Model #2 HR (95% CI) Model #1 HR (95% CI) Model #2 HR (95% CI)
Age, y
45–64 1.44 (1.38–1.50) 1.47 (1.41–1.54) 1.32 (1.28–1.35) 1.35 (1.31–1.38)
75–84 2.17 (2.08–2.25) 2.26 (2.16–2.35) 2.15 (2.10–2.21) 2.24 (2.18–2.30)
≥85 3.50 (3.33–3.67) 3.71 (3.53–3.91) 3.71 (3.59–3.83) 3.92 (3.79–4.06)
Female 0.80 (0.78–0.83) 0.81 (0.79–0.84) 0.79 (0.78–0.81) 0.80 (0.79–0.82)
Vascular beds (RFO as referent)
CAD only 1.71 (1.64–1.78) 1.50 (1.43–1.57) 1.57 (1.53–1.61) 1.36 (1.33–1.40)
CVD only 2.21 (2.10–2.33) 2.05 (1.95–2.17) 1.79 (1.73–1.85) 1.66 (1.60–1.72)
PAD only 1.38 (1.32–1.45) 1.28 (1.22–1.35) 1.31 (1.27–1.35) 1.21 (1.17–1.24)
CAD+CVD 3.56 (3.25–3.90) 2.68 (2.44–2.94) 2.68 (2.51–2.86) 2.01 (1.88–2.15)
CAD+PAD 2.52 (2.34–2.73) 1.83 (1.69–1.98) 2.20 (2.09–2.31) 1.61 (1.53–1.70)
CVD+PAD 2.82 (2.53–3.13) 2.29 (2.05–2.55) 2.36 (2.20–2.54) 1.94 (1.80–2.09)
CAD+CVD+PAD 4.38 (3.75–5.10) 2.82 (2.41–3.29) 3.30 (2.97–3.68) 2.16 (1.94–2.41)
Risk factors
Diabetes mellitus ··· 1.25 (1.20–1.30) ··· 1.17 (1.14–1.20)
Diabetic nephropathy ··· 1.27 (1.17–1.37) ··· 1.25 (1.19–1.31)
Carotid stenosis ··· 1.13 (1.08–1.18) ··· 1.09 (1.06–1.12)
Hypertension with treatment ··· 1.16 (1.06–1.26) ··· 1.16 (1.09–1.22)
Hypercholesterolemia ··· 0.88 (0.81–0.95) ··· 0.91 (0.87–0.96)
Smoker ··· 1.56 (1.47–1.65) ··· 1.47 (1.42–1.53)
Medications
ACEI or ARB ··· 0.94 (0.91–0.97) ··· 0.93 (0.91–0.95)
β‐blocker ··· 1.29 (1.25–1.33) ··· 1.24 (1.22–1.27)
Calcium channel blocker ··· 1.13 (1.10–1.17) ··· 1.14 (1.12–1.17)
Diuretics ··· 1.07 (1.04–1.10) ··· 1.05 (1.03–1.08)
Statin ··· 0.87 (0.80–0.93) ··· 0.84 (0.80–0.88)
P2Y12 inhibitor ··· 1.49 (1.43–1.54) ··· 1.51 (1.48–1.55)
Oral anticoagulant ··· 1.04 (0.99–1.08) ··· 1.05 (1.02–1.08)
Metformin ··· 0.88 (0.84–0.91) ··· 0.91 (0.89–0.94)
α‐glucosidase inhibitor ··· 1.37 (1.06–1.79) ··· 1.10 (0.91–1.32)
DPP4 inhibitors ··· 0.97 (0.91–1.03) ··· 0.98 (0.94–1.02)
GLP1 agonists ··· 0.76 (0.68–0.85) ··· 0.80 (0.75–0.86)
SGLT2 inhibitors ··· 1.00 (0.78–1.28) ··· 0.95 (0.81–1.11)
Sulphonylureas or glinides ··· 1.24 (1.18–1.29) ··· 1.21 (1.18–1.25)
Thiazolidinediones ··· 0.89 (0.82–0.98) ··· 0.92 (0.87–0.98)
Insulin ··· 1.74 (1.67–1.82) ··· 1.76 (1.71–1.81)

ACEI or ARB indicates angiotensin‐converting enzyme inhibitor or angiotensin receptor blocker; CAD, coronary artery disease; CVD, cerebrovascular disease; DPP4, dipeptidyl peptidase IV; GLP‐1, glucagon‐like peptide‐1; HR, hazard ratio; MACE, major adverse cardiovascular event; PAD, peripheral artery disease; RFO, risk factors only; SGLT2, sodium∕glucose cotransporter member 2.