Table 1b. Corresponding probabilities for endoscopists performing 50 ERCP/year with mean difficulty 1 (scale 1–4). where the TM probabilities are calculated for 25 %. 50 % and 75 % expert knowledge transferred. respectively.

	Expert	Novice	TM 25 %	TM 50 %	TM 75 %
Cannulation rate ERCP	0.985797331	0.889220319	0.913364572	0.937508825	0.961653078
Pancreatitis	0.020878489	0.029507862	0.027350519	0.025193176	0.023035832
Bleeding	0.007361713	0.01239188	0.011134338	0.009876796	0.008619254
Perforation	0.005388399	0.00391852	0.00428599	0.00465346	0.005020929
Infection	0.003598623	0.01163047	0.009622509	0.007614547	0.005606585
Cardiopulmonary complications	0.013335389	0.013335389	0.013335389	0.013335389	0.013335389
ERCP Death	0.001924138	0.002614733	0.002442084	0.002269436	0.002096787
No complications	0.947513249	0.926601146	0.931829171	0.937057197	0.942285223

TM, teleguidance-assisted procedure; ERCP, endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreaography.