Table 5.
ML estimates of BSM parameters and variances for NO.
Parameter | Marche | Citta Studi | Liguria | Verziere | Senato | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
log(Pavia) | 0.36 *** | 0.85 *** | 0.69 *** | 0.65 *** | 0.55 *** | |
(0.01) | (0.02) | (0.02) | (0.02) | (0.01) | ||
Holidays | −0.06 *** | −0.08 *** | −0.08 *** | −0.10 *** | −0.08 ** | |
(0.02) | (0.03) | (0.02) | (0.02) | (0.03) | ||
Week-end | −0.06 *** | −0.10 *** | −0.09 *** | −0.14 *** | −0.11 *** | |
(0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | ||
Saturday:Holidays | 0.06 | 0.18 *** | 0.06 | 0.14 ** | −0.09 *** | |
(0.05) | (0.08) | 0.07 | (0.06) | (0.02) | ||
Sunday:Holidays | 0.08 *** | 0.11 *** | 0.11 *** | 0.06 | 0.10 *** | |
(0.03) | (0.05) | (0.04) | (0.03) | (0.03) | ||
WindSpeed Q | −0.35 *** | −0.13 *** | −0.42 *** | −0.23 *** | −0.18 *** | |
(0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | ||
WindSpeed Q | −0.17 *** | −0.16 *** | −0.08 *** | −0.13 *** | −0.08 *** | |
(0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | ||
Level variance | 0.0051 | 0.0065 | 0.0046 | 0.0044 | 0.0024 | |
Slope variance | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | |
Seasonality variance | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | |
Errors variance | 0.0093 | 0.0282 | 0.0182 | 0.0154 | 0.0114 |
Note 1: values in parenthesis are standard errors. Note 2: ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01.