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. 2020 Feb 24;15(2):e0229438. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0229438

Table 1. Forecast percentage of overweight and obese in the population to 2010–2040 (men).

Weight Residence Year 20–34 35–54 55–69 All
Point est. Lower Upper Point est. Lower Upper Point est. Lower Upper Point est. Lower Upper
Overweight Rural 2010 8.4 6.6 10.2 12.3 10.0 14.5 4.7 3.5 5.9 9.2 7.9 10.5
2020 14.5 11.7 17.9 21.8 17.5 25.5 18.4 14.6 22.0 18.1 15.0 21.3
2030 17.6 14.2 21.8 26.1 20.8 31.7 26.6 20.7 31.9 22.9 18.5 27.9
2040 19.0 15.3 23.6 28.1 22.3 34.7 30.5 23.6 37.0 25.6 20.4 31.4
Obese Rural 2010 1.2 0.8 1.7 2.3 1.7 2.9 0.8 0.2 1.3 1.6 1.2 2.0
2020 2.6 1.4 3.8 5.4 3.6 7.6 3.1 1.8 4.4 3.8 2.4 5.2
2030 3.7 1.9 5.4 8.5 5.1 12.6 6.4 3.4 9.7 6.2 3.7 9.0
2040 4.3 2.2 6.3 10.5 6.2 15.4 9.3 4.9 14.5 8.2 4.7 12.0
Overweight Urban 2010 15.9 14.0 17.8 25.8 22.9 29.0 10.8 8.4 13.6 19.0 17.2 21.1
2020 24.5 21.3 27.6 38.4 33.0 44.0 30.7 25.4 36.2 31.4 27.2 35.5
2030 28.3 24.3 32.0 41.4 35.1 49.0 37.3 30.6 45.8 35.7 30.5 41.6
2040 30.2 25.9 34.2 42.1 35.8 50.5 38.5 31.3 48.0 37.1 31.6 43.8
Obese Urban 2010 3.2 2.2 4.2 5.7 4.4 7.0 1.8 0.6 2.8 4.0 3.2 4.9
2020 5.1 3.3 7.2 8.3 4.7 12.0 6.2 2.5 9.3 6.6 4.1 9.1
2030 6.9 4.4 9.7 11.0 5.5 16.4 10.1 3.4 16.4 9.4 5.0 13.7
2040 7.8 5.0 11.0 13.4 6.7 19.7 12.8 3.6 22.0 11.4 5.7 16.8