Table 1. Forecast percentage of overweight and obese in the population to 2010–2040 (men).
Weight | Residence | Year | 20–34 | 35–54 | 55–69 | All | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Point est. | Lower | Upper | Point est. | Lower | Upper | Point est. | Lower | Upper | Point est. | Lower | Upper | |||
Overweight | Rural | 2010 | 8.4 | 6.6 | 10.2 | 12.3 | 10.0 | 14.5 | 4.7 | 3.5 | 5.9 | 9.2 | 7.9 | 10.5 |
2020 | 14.5 | 11.7 | 17.9 | 21.8 | 17.5 | 25.5 | 18.4 | 14.6 | 22.0 | 18.1 | 15.0 | 21.3 | ||
2030 | 17.6 | 14.2 | 21.8 | 26.1 | 20.8 | 31.7 | 26.6 | 20.7 | 31.9 | 22.9 | 18.5 | 27.9 | ||
2040 | 19.0 | 15.3 | 23.6 | 28.1 | 22.3 | 34.7 | 30.5 | 23.6 | 37.0 | 25.6 | 20.4 | 31.4 | ||
Obese | Rural | 2010 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 2.0 |
2020 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 3.8 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 7.6 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 5.2 | ||
2030 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 5.4 | 8.5 | 5.1 | 12.6 | 6.4 | 3.4 | 9.7 | 6.2 | 3.7 | 9.0 | ||
2040 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 6.3 | 10.5 | 6.2 | 15.4 | 9.3 | 4.9 | 14.5 | 8.2 | 4.7 | 12.0 | ||
Overweight | Urban | 2010 | 15.9 | 14.0 | 17.8 | 25.8 | 22.9 | 29.0 | 10.8 | 8.4 | 13.6 | 19.0 | 17.2 | 21.1 |
2020 | 24.5 | 21.3 | 27.6 | 38.4 | 33.0 | 44.0 | 30.7 | 25.4 | 36.2 | 31.4 | 27.2 | 35.5 | ||
2030 | 28.3 | 24.3 | 32.0 | 41.4 | 35.1 | 49.0 | 37.3 | 30.6 | 45.8 | 35.7 | 30.5 | 41.6 | ||
2040 | 30.2 | 25.9 | 34.2 | 42.1 | 35.8 | 50.5 | 38.5 | 31.3 | 48.0 | 37.1 | 31.6 | 43.8 | ||
Obese | Urban | 2010 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 5.7 | 4.4 | 7.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 4.9 |
2020 | 5.1 | 3.3 | 7.2 | 8.3 | 4.7 | 12.0 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 9.3 | 6.6 | 4.1 | 9.1 | ||
2030 | 6.9 | 4.4 | 9.7 | 11.0 | 5.5 | 16.4 | 10.1 | 3.4 | 16.4 | 9.4 | 5.0 | 13.7 | ||
2040 | 7.8 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 13.4 | 6.7 | 19.7 | 12.8 | 3.6 | 22.0 | 11.4 | 5.7 | 16.8 |